1 00:00:20,450 --> 00:00:09,500 welcome to the skeptic zone the podcast 2 00:00:29,339 --> 00:00:23,069 hello and welcome to the skeptic zone 3 00:00:31,349 --> 00:00:29,349 episode number 303 303 303 something 4 00:00:33,270 --> 00:00:31,359 like that for the tenth of august twenty 5 00:00:35,729 --> 00:00:33,280 ordained Richard Saunders here with you 6 00:00:37,229 --> 00:00:35,739 from Sydney Australia on this week's 7 00:00:40,649 --> 00:00:37,239 episode we're going to be looking 8 00:00:42,810 --> 00:00:40,659 remembering considering reviewing going 9 00:00:45,319 --> 00:00:42,820 over the million dollar challenge at the 10 00:00:49,079 --> 00:00:45,329 recent amazing meeting in Las Vegas 11 00:00:51,780 --> 00:00:49,089 where I helped did my bit to put that 12 00:00:54,030 --> 00:00:51,790 together and i'll be reading my official 13 00:00:55,679 --> 00:00:54,040 report that i wrote a little while ago 14 00:00:58,170 --> 00:00:55,689 for the James Randi Educational 15 00:01:01,170 --> 00:00:58,180 Foundation all about the million-dollar 16 00:01:03,929 --> 00:01:01,180 challenge testing somebody who said that 17 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:03,939 they had mystical energy coming out of 18 00:01:08,969 --> 00:01:06,490 their hand following that it's a week in 19 00:01:11,789 --> 00:01:08,979 science from the Royal Institution of 20 00:01:15,210 --> 00:01:11,799 Australia and then it's evidence please 21 00:01:16,469 --> 00:01:15,220 with Joe alabaster Joe was at skeptics 22 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:16,479 in the pub the other night where I was 23 00:01:20,850 --> 00:01:18,250 giving a talk about the million-dollar 24 00:01:23,039 --> 00:01:20,860 challenge and after my talk she was 25 00:01:25,320 --> 00:01:23,049 asking pub goers what they thought of 26 00:01:27,060 --> 00:01:25,330 the whole concept of the million dollar 27 00:01:30,660 --> 00:01:27,070 challenge or in the case of Australia 28 00:01:34,500 --> 00:01:30,670 our $100,000 challenge amongst other 29 00:01:36,420 --> 00:01:34,510 people Joe chat stew is the our chief 30 00:01:38,370 --> 00:01:36,430 investigator for Australian skeptics ian 31 00:01:41,130 --> 00:01:38,380 bryce and the editor of the skeptic 32 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:41,140 magazine tim mendham went around off the 33 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:43,090 show it's a grain of salt with a run sir 34 00:01:49,170 --> 00:01:46,090 give forget more interviews from QED the 35 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:49,180 question explore discover conference in 36 00:01:54,090 --> 00:01:51,250 Manchester I was there last year and the 37 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:54,100 year before at QED wow what a fabulous 38 00:02:00,420 --> 00:01:56,610 convention that was really enjoyed it 39 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:00,430 really enjoyed it those I sceptics from 40 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:01,690 the Liverpool area in the Manchester 41 00:02:08,369 --> 00:02:04,330 area make sure know how to put on a good 42 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:08,379 convention this week Iran chats to dr. 43 00:02:18,539 --> 00:02:14,370 Elizabeth pisani about HIV and AIDS and 44 00:02:21,210 --> 00:02:18,549 her thoughts on the current state of HIV 45 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:21,220 and AIDS and you'll appreciate when you 46 00:02:25,830 --> 00:02:22,450 hear the interview why I'm not saying 47 00:02:29,250 --> 00:02:25,840 hiv/aids I'm saying HIV and AIDS and 48 00:02:31,050 --> 00:02:29,260 also her thoughts on circumcision hmm 49 00:02:32,670 --> 00:02:31,060 there's an interesting one for you a bit 50 00:02:34,110 --> 00:02:32,680 different that's a grain of salt with 51 00:02:36,660 --> 00:02:34,120 the runs to give to 52 00:02:37,890 --> 00:02:36,670 wind up the skeptic zone this week thank 53 00:02:41,640 --> 00:02:37,900 you to all those people sending in your 54 00:02:43,190 --> 00:02:41,650 interesting entries to our cosmos 55 00:02:45,979 --> 00:02:43,200 competition those people in Australia 56 00:02:48,530 --> 00:02:45,989 Australian listeners you have until the 57 00:02:50,819 --> 00:02:48,540 night of the 16th for midnight on the 58 00:02:56,100 --> 00:02:50,829 sixteenth of this month that's saturday 59 00:02:59,300 --> 00:02:56,110 night to send me via cosmos at skeptic 60 00:03:02,580 --> 00:02:59,310 zone TV a picture with the theme 61 00:03:05,759 --> 00:03:02,590 billions and billions how you interpret 62 00:03:09,300 --> 00:03:05,769 that it's entirely up to you and our 63 00:03:11,369 --> 00:03:09,310 judges now judge or somebody will have a 64 00:03:14,910 --> 00:03:11,379 look at all those entries and the winner 65 00:03:18,619 --> 00:03:14,920 will receive the new cosmos series on 66 00:03:22,860 --> 00:03:18,629 DVD which I have right here in my shelf 67 00:03:25,410 --> 00:03:22,870 somewhere what's this Star Wars now 68 00:03:28,020 --> 00:03:25,420 Superman that produces a hard day's 69 00:03:30,750 --> 00:03:28,030 night I know I put it up here somewhere 70 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:30,760 maybe it's on this side have a look as 71 00:03:37,710 --> 00:03:33,090 my books James Randi what's this 72 00:03:41,430 --> 00:03:37,720 conjuring mask of Nostradamus up up here 73 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:41,440 maybe Brian brushwood bizarre magick 74 00:03:47,009 --> 00:03:43,930 could haven't whatever I must really I 75 00:03:48,860 --> 00:03:47,019 hear it here it is here it is right next 76 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:48,870 to adventures in paranormal 77 00:03:57,830 --> 00:03:52,090 investigation who wrote that John Diggle 78 00:04:03,059 --> 00:03:57,840 there you go cosmos a spacetime Odyssey 79 00:04:06,180 --> 00:04:03,069 4-disc set the new serious folks now the 80 00:04:07,619 --> 00:04:06,190 new series on DVD can be yours if you 81 00:04:09,750 --> 00:04:07,629 live in Australia and if you into the 82 00:04:11,250 --> 00:04:09,760 cosmos billions and billions competition 83 00:04:15,390 --> 00:04:11,260 don't forget send your photograph to 84 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:15,400 cosmos at skeptic zone TV and some of 85 00:04:21,449 --> 00:04:16,930 the entries that are coming in we've put 86 00:04:26,339 --> 00:04:21,459 up on our our Facebook the skeptics own 87 00:04:28,469 --> 00:04:26,349 Facebook site which is um not used to 88 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:28,479 the extent it should be really but I 89 00:04:33,150 --> 00:04:30,849 notice our reporter Joe alabaster has 90 00:04:35,460 --> 00:04:33,160 been attempting to sort of get more 91 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:35,470 things happening with that anyway check 92 00:04:38,790 --> 00:04:37,090 it out and if you want to please enter 93 00:04:40,110 --> 00:04:38,800 our competition and I'll announce the 94 00:04:45,330 --> 00:04:40,120 winner next week who will get this 95 00:04:46,870 --> 00:04:45,340 lovely cosmos disc set but that's all 96 00:04:49,270 --> 00:04:46,880 for me at the moment 97 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:49,280 I'm going to run downstairs I'm going to 98 00:04:56,950 --> 00:04:53,570 open up the cupboard licorice mmm salty 99 00:05:00,150 --> 00:04:56,960 licorice Europeans like style Dutch type 100 00:05:03,420 --> 00:05:00,160 Swedish type salty licorice type 101 00:05:06,610 --> 00:05:03,430 Norwegian or I think you get the idea 102 00:05:26,820 --> 00:05:06,620 mmm very nice well I'm doing that I hope 103 00:05:30,330 --> 00:05:29,460 the amazing meeting Lee annual gathering 104 00:05:34,110 --> 00:05:30,340 of the James Randi Educational 105 00:05:36,450 --> 00:05:34,120 Foundation jrf in Las Vegas is amazing 106 00:05:38,580 --> 00:05:36,460 for a number of reasons I for one find 107 00:05:41,070 --> 00:05:38,590 it amazing that although a whole year 108 00:05:43,170 --> 00:05:41,080 goes by from one meeting to the next one 109 00:05:45,870 --> 00:05:43,180 since concen the venue the south point 110 00:05:47,460 --> 00:05:45,880 casino and spa one can be forgiven for 111 00:05:49,710 --> 00:05:47,470 thinking that the last meeting was only 112 00:05:51,690 --> 00:05:49,720 a couple of weeks ago in the six years 113 00:05:54,510 --> 00:05:51,700 have been going to the south point it 114 00:05:58,080 --> 00:05:54,520 has scarcely changed while I just get a 115 00:06:00,720 --> 00:05:58,090 little older in 2012 and 2013 it was my 116 00:06:02,910 --> 00:06:00,730 pleasure to assist the jf in organizing 117 00:06:06,840 --> 00:06:02,920 and staging the preliminary test for the 118 00:06:08,730 --> 00:06:06,850 million dollar challenge MDC which over 119 00:06:12,210 --> 00:06:08,740 the years has become the grand finale of 120 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:12,220 Tam in 2014 shortly before heading off 121 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:14,530 to Las Vegas members of the MDC 122 00:06:19,650 --> 00:06:17,170 committee bannerchek Jamie and Swiss and 123 00:06:22,410 --> 00:06:19,660 chip Denman asked if I would once again 124 00:06:24,540 --> 00:06:22,420 come to the aid of the party with such 125 00:06:27,060 --> 00:06:24,550 highly regarded people as these acting 126 00:06:30,300 --> 00:06:27,070 on behalf of James Randi the answer was 127 00:06:32,940 --> 00:06:30,310 easy the email started flowing my way a 128 00:06:35,460 --> 00:06:32,950 day or two before my arrival followed by 129 00:06:39,090 --> 00:06:35,470 Skype meetings with Banacek and new to 130 00:06:41,130 --> 00:06:39,100 the MDC Krystyn Lambert highly respected 131 00:06:43,590 --> 00:06:41,140 up-and-coming magician who works with 132 00:06:46,530 --> 00:06:43,600 the likes of Criss Angel this year d 133 00:06:49,110 --> 00:06:46,540 claimant was one mr. fee Wong a Chinese 134 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:49,120 national living and studying in Boston 135 00:06:54,510 --> 00:06:52,450 he had already been tested by the New 136 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:54,520 England Center for the Advancement of 137 00:06:59,550 --> 00:06:56,770 paranormal science with seemingly 138 00:07:02,520 --> 00:06:59,560 positive results this report together 139 00:07:04,830 --> 00:07:02,530 with letters of recommendation satisfied 140 00:07:07,430 --> 00:07:04,840 the MDC committee that there was worth 141 00:07:10,530 --> 00:07:07,440 proceeding with testing this claimant 142 00:07:12,870 --> 00:07:10,540 mr. Wong's claims in his own words is I 143 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:12,880 have some supernatural power that I can 144 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:15,250 send out from my right hand and other 145 00:07:20,670 --> 00:07:17,770 people can simply feel it at a distance 146 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:20,680 of about 30 centimeters away Mr Wong 147 00:07:26,220 --> 00:07:23,770 claims that he can project or transmit a 148 00:07:29,370 --> 00:07:26,230 power force or energy hitherto unknown 149 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:29,380 to science from his right hand into the 150 00:07:34,620 --> 00:07:31,810 hand of a receptive subject the subject 151 00:07:37,260 --> 00:07:34,630 will be able to feel this energy as 152 00:07:39,270 --> 00:07:37,270 warmth movement tingling or some other 153 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:39,280 notable sensations in there 154 00:07:44,730 --> 00:07:41,730 and it has also claimed that this energy 155 00:07:46,830 --> 00:07:44,740 possibly known as Qigong can be 156 00:07:50,550 --> 00:07:46,840 transmitted through various materials 157 00:07:52,500 --> 00:07:50,560 including wood plastic and metal it is 158 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:52,510 important to note that this claimed 159 00:07:57,659 --> 00:07:54,970 ability still works even if the subject 160 00:08:00,870 --> 00:07:57,669 is unaware of the direct actions of mr. 161 00:08:02,930 --> 00:08:00,880 Wong on the surface of it and this may 162 00:08:05,670 --> 00:08:02,940 appear to be a relatively simple test 163 00:08:08,370 --> 00:08:05,680 experience has shown us that even simple 164 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:08,380 claims can be quite a task I arrived at 165 00:08:12,810 --> 00:08:10,090 the South Point the day before their 166 00:08:15,210 --> 00:08:12,820 first official tam events before long I 167 00:08:17,610 --> 00:08:15,220 found myself in the del mar bar the 168 00:08:18,900 --> 00:08:17,620 unofficial tam hangout spot working on 169 00:08:21,690 --> 00:08:18,910 the formal million dollar challenge 170 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:21,700 document that would not only serve as 171 00:08:26,790 --> 00:08:24,250 the agreement between the jrf and Mr 172 00:08:29,610 --> 00:08:26,800 Wong but would also be a step-by-step 173 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:29,620 protocol for the test itself this 174 00:08:34,500 --> 00:08:31,930 document would change many times each 175 00:08:37,230 --> 00:08:34,510 day as the committee and mr. Wang worked 176 00:08:39,060 --> 00:08:37,240 together to fine-tune the test the first 177 00:08:41,130 --> 00:08:39,070 hurdle to overcome was to make sure the 178 00:08:43,529 --> 00:08:41,140 subjects of the test those who were on 179 00:08:47,100 --> 00:08:43,539 the receiving end of mr. Wong's powers 180 00:08:50,070 --> 00:08:47,110 were ultimately unaware of when mr. Wang 181 00:08:52,680 --> 00:08:50,080 was sending his power at first the idea 182 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:52,690 was to set up an aluminium petition on 183 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:54,850 the table with the subject on one side 184 00:08:58,860 --> 00:08:57,010 and mr. Wong on the other there would be 185 00:09:00,990 --> 00:08:58,870 two holes in the partition through which 186 00:09:04,380 --> 00:09:01,000 the subject could extend their hands 187 00:09:07,110 --> 00:09:04,390 coming to rest inside two boxes mr. Wang 188 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:07,120 would then work on either the left or 189 00:09:11,790 --> 00:09:09,250 right hand sending his energy through 190 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:11,800 the box without the subject knowing in 191 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:13,810 our first meeting with mr. Wang on 192 00:09:19,350 --> 00:09:16,450 Thursday we realized that he found this 193 00:09:21,990 --> 00:09:19,360 arrangement unacceptable as he claimed 194 00:09:24,750 --> 00:09:22,000 the power or energy would travel from 195 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:24,760 his right hand through the box into the 196 00:09:29,820 --> 00:09:27,490 left hand of the subject and keep going 197 00:09:33,210 --> 00:09:29,830 up the other side into the right box 198 00:09:35,340 --> 00:09:33,220 bannerchek jamie chip mr. Wang and I all 199 00:09:37,350 --> 00:09:35,350 walked around the room for some time 200 00:09:39,540 --> 00:09:37,360 with our hands on our chins voicing 201 00:09:41,910 --> 00:09:39,550 ideas arguing the merits of each going 202 00:09:43,620 --> 00:09:41,920 back to the drawing board and so on then 203 00:09:45,930 --> 00:09:43,630 the idea came up with the screen or 204 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:45,940 partition by which time it was agreed 205 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:48,250 could be made from cardboard could be 206 00:09:52,860 --> 00:09:51,010 set at an angle so the energy would miss 207 00:09:55,410 --> 00:09:52,870 the other hand of the subject as 208 00:09:57,269 --> 00:09:55,420 it was being projected we also tied for 209 00:10:00,420 --> 00:09:57,279 a long time with the idea that Mr Wong 210 00:10:03,329 --> 00:10:00,430 and a placebo claimant ie someone with 211 00:10:05,610 --> 00:10:03,339 no special powers would approach the 212 00:10:07,500 --> 00:10:05,620 subject at the same time one working on 213 00:10:09,870 --> 00:10:07,510 the right hand the other on the left 214 00:10:11,670 --> 00:10:09,880 these ideas are bounced around the room 215 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:11,680 for the next couple of hours as we 216 00:10:16,950 --> 00:10:13,810 change this and that drew diagrams and 217 00:10:19,500 --> 00:10:16,960 argued the small points all this goes to 218 00:10:21,050 --> 00:10:19,510 remind us of how complex and involve 219 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:21,060 these preliminary tests can be 220 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:23,290 especially when you consider that we 221 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:25,450 were also constructing a live 222 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:27,370 performance for an audience but the 223 00:10:31,500 --> 00:10:29,290 overriding consideration during this 224 00:10:34,769 --> 00:10:31,510 whole process was to ensure that mr. 225 00:10:37,290 --> 00:10:34,779 Wang was in agreement and comfortable 226 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:37,300 with what we were suggesting to him he 227 00:10:41,490 --> 00:10:39,370 like any other claimant of this stage of 228 00:10:44,070 --> 00:10:41,500 the planning had the right to veto what 229 00:10:45,329 --> 00:10:44,080 we put forward I must say we found mr. 230 00:10:47,910 --> 00:10:45,339 Wang to be very helpful and polite 231 00:10:50,579 --> 00:10:47,920 throughout and was understanding of what 232 00:10:53,130 --> 00:10:50,589 we are trying to achieve somewhere along 233 00:10:54,990 --> 00:10:53,140 the way the idea developed that we only 234 00:10:57,420 --> 00:10:55,000 use the right hand of the subject and 235 00:10:59,699 --> 00:10:57,430 mr. Wang and our placebo claimant should 236 00:11:01,560 --> 00:10:59,709 take it in turns this met with the 237 00:11:04,230 --> 00:11:01,570 universal agreement as it eliminated 238 00:11:06,780 --> 00:11:04,240 quite a few problems we also agreed that 239 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:06,790 two ping-pong balls one white the other 240 00:11:12,300 --> 00:11:09,610 black placed in a bag and shaken would 241 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:12,310 be used to determine at random who would 242 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:15,490 approach the subject first and second by 243 00:11:19,350 --> 00:11:17,410 now we all needed a rest and it was 244 00:11:21,420 --> 00:11:19,360 agreed we would meet the next day when 245 00:11:23,490 --> 00:11:21,430 mr. Wang could start meeting and 246 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:23,500 assessing possible subjects for the test 247 00:11:27,990 --> 00:11:25,930 I headed back to my room and rewrote 248 00:11:29,699 --> 00:11:28,000 million dollar challenge document with 249 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:29,709 the new conditions worked out an hour 250 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:31,450 meeting complete with new diagrams 251 00:11:36,150 --> 00:11:33,970 Friday arrived in town was in full swing 252 00:11:37,740 --> 00:11:36,160 hundreds of people from all over the 253 00:11:40,199 --> 00:11:37,750 world with many old friends to meet 254 00:11:43,199 --> 00:11:40,209 again mr. Wang arrived at the reception 255 00:11:45,300 --> 00:11:43,209 desk around 12 45 and was escorted to 256 00:11:47,699 --> 00:11:45,310 the press room which we commandeered for 257 00:11:49,590 --> 00:11:47,709 the next few hours soon Kristin brought 258 00:11:51,690 --> 00:11:49,600 in the first group of possible subjects 259 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:51,700 from the Las Vegas area all of whom were 260 00:11:56,730 --> 00:11:54,730 very keen to help in the week before Tam 261 00:11:58,949 --> 00:11:56,740 Kristin went about finding these 262 00:12:01,530 --> 00:11:58,959 subjects by placing flies at yoga 263 00:12:03,810 --> 00:12:01,540 studios Whole Foods mystic bookstores 264 00:12:06,750 --> 00:12:03,820 psychic reading places crystal dealers 265 00:12:08,820 --> 00:12:06,760 and even use Craigslist mr. 266 00:12:11,790 --> 00:12:08,830 had mentioned that people who practice 267 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:11,800 meditation etc are more likely to be in 268 00:12:16,980 --> 00:12:14,530 paths for his energy but Mr Wong was 269 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:16,990 also happy for us to use Tam delegates 270 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:19,930 if we wanted the next three hours were 271 00:12:23,730 --> 00:12:21,490 spent with mr. Wang slowly and 272 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:23,740 methodically testing each subject we 273 00:12:27,690 --> 00:12:25,330 even went to the trouble of blindfolding 274 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:27,700 and placing industrial headphones on the 275 00:12:31,950 --> 00:12:30,130 subjects to make sure that they and mr. 276 00:12:34,830 --> 00:12:31,960 Wang were comfortable with this extra 277 00:12:37,410 --> 00:12:34,840 layer of security then bannerchek or I 278 00:12:40,140 --> 00:12:37,420 and mr. Wang would ask them if they felt 279 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:40,150 any sensation in their hand when the 280 00:12:45,560 --> 00:12:42,970 energy seemed to be transmitted some 281 00:12:49,710 --> 00:12:45,570 said yes some said they weren't sure 282 00:12:51,810 --> 00:12:49,720 most said no mr. Wang had the final say 283 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:51,820 as to whether an individual was deemed 284 00:12:57,390 --> 00:12:54,130 acceptable and they were asked to return 285 00:12:59,310 --> 00:12:57,400 for the live show noticing that mr. 286 00:13:01,710 --> 00:12:59,320 Wong's right hand was getting very close 287 00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:01,720 to the box it was agreed that a line be 288 00:13:07,020 --> 00:13:04,330 drawn to form a six centimeter barrier a 289 00:13:09,300 --> 00:13:07,030 great deal of time was used to work out 290 00:13:11,940 --> 00:13:09,310 just how long mr. Wang needed to 291 00:13:13,860 --> 00:13:11,950 concentrate between each subject in 292 00:13:16,140 --> 00:13:13,870 order for him to feel his energy levels 293 00:13:17,940 --> 00:13:16,150 were just about right it was during this 294 00:13:20,430 --> 00:13:17,950 session that it was decided that he 295 00:13:22,650 --> 00:13:20,440 would have exactly one minute to work on 296 00:13:25,260 --> 00:13:22,660 each subject which was more time than he 297 00:13:27,300 --> 00:13:25,270 really needed we also had to agree on 298 00:13:29,550 --> 00:13:27,310 how much time should elapse if we were 299 00:13:32,220 --> 00:13:29,560 to use the same subject more than once 300 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:32,230 other details included where to put the 301 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:34,330 curtains who should stand where and do 302 00:13:39,350 --> 00:13:37,330 what I videotaped the entire session for 303 00:13:42,060 --> 00:13:39,360 the archives with the permission of mr. 304 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:42,070 11 of the details that change during 305 00:13:46,500 --> 00:13:44,170 this session was that the subject would 306 00:13:49,380 --> 00:13:46,510 face away from the audience instead of 307 00:13:51,390 --> 00:13:49,390 at right angles the stage curtains would 308 00:13:53,990 --> 00:13:51,400 also be used to help conceal mr. Wang 309 00:13:56,550 --> 00:13:54,000 and out placebo claimant Jamy Ian Swiss 310 00:13:58,500 --> 00:13:56,560 from the audience a copy of the document 311 00:14:01,140 --> 00:13:58,510 was emailed to mister wong for his 312 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:01,150 records and comments saturday rolled 313 00:14:04,710 --> 00:14:02,770 around and once again we found ourselves 314 00:14:06,810 --> 00:14:04,720 in the press room with another group of 315 00:14:09,900 --> 00:14:06,820 possible subjects to be assessed by mr. 316 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:09,910 Wang yet more operations to the tests 317 00:14:14,850 --> 00:14:12,130 were made as we learnt more about just 318 00:14:17,700 --> 00:14:14,860 what was needed and who we might be 319 00:14:19,350 --> 00:14:17,710 using the following night Kristin also 320 00:14:19,860 --> 00:14:19,360 took the opportunity to find out more 321 00:14:21,780 --> 00:14:19,870 about 322 00:14:24,390 --> 00:14:21,790 two wrongs background for the benefit of 323 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:24,400 the audience like the day before this 324 00:14:29,610 --> 00:14:26,650 session took some hours and more the 325 00:14:32,550 --> 00:14:29,620 protocol was fine tuned by the end of it 326 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:32,560 we only had five subjects with whom mr. 327 00:14:38,250 --> 00:14:35,170 Wong was happy from the two days of 328 00:14:40,590 --> 00:14:38,260 pre-tests more rewrites followed with me 329 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:40,600 making two versions of the testing plan 330 00:14:45,210 --> 00:14:43,570 document one version was to cater for 331 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:45,220 the possibility of using all our five 332 00:14:50,970 --> 00:14:48,730 subjects twice giving us 10 tests the 333 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:50,980 other was a safety in case only three of 334 00:14:55,110 --> 00:14:52,690 the subjects turned up on the night in 335 00:14:58,470 --> 00:14:55,120 which case we would use them three times 336 00:14:59,820 --> 00:14:58,480 each giving us a total of nine tests as 337 00:15:03,090 --> 00:14:59,830 it turned out it was good to have a plan 338 00:15:05,700 --> 00:15:03,100 B finally Sunday the day of the 339 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:05,710 preliminary challenge arrived all the 340 00:15:09,300 --> 00:15:06,730 members the million dollar challenge 341 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:09,310 committee were very busy that day with 342 00:15:13,890 --> 00:15:11,770 talks or workshops and it wasn't until 343 00:15:17,190 --> 00:15:13,900 late into the afternoon after the last 344 00:15:19,380 --> 00:15:17,200 ham talk which happened to be mine that 345 00:15:22,019 --> 00:15:19,390 we had access to the main stage to start 346 00:15:24,150 --> 00:15:22,029 constructing the testing table cardboard 347 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:24,160 screen the box and practice moving the 348 00:15:27,900 --> 00:15:26,290 curtains a video camera was also 349 00:15:29,850 --> 00:15:27,910 installed at the back of the stage to 350 00:15:32,250 --> 00:15:29,860 capture for the record what would be 351 00:15:34,019 --> 00:15:32,260 hidden from the audience mr. Wang joined 352 00:15:35,970 --> 00:15:34,029 us during this time to inspect the set 353 00:15:39,210 --> 00:15:35,980 up and go over the final protocols as 354 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:39,220 did James Randi who took great care to 355 00:15:43,260 --> 00:15:41,650 examine the stage delegates may be 356 00:15:46,199 --> 00:15:43,270 forgiven if they think they saw a 357 00:15:48,329 --> 00:15:46,209 strange flash with a yellow tie tearing 358 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:48,339 up and down the great hall laptop in 359 00:15:52,710 --> 00:15:50,290 hand as I ran to see to last minute 360 00:15:54,630 --> 00:15:52,720 loose ends including finding a printer 361 00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:54,640 to make copies of the now many times 362 00:15:59,970 --> 00:15:57,570 rewritten formal document all was ready 363 00:16:03,060 --> 00:15:59,980 however we only had three of the five 364 00:16:05,430 --> 00:16:03,070 subjects turn up for the test so Plan B 365 00:16:07,650 --> 00:16:05,440 it was we parked them in the service 366 00:16:09,750 --> 00:16:07,660 corridor near the main stage had mr. 367 00:16:13,260 --> 00:16:09,760 Wang wait in the wings let the audience 368 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:13,270 in and the show started bannerchek and 369 00:16:18,090 --> 00:16:15,370 Jamie took to the stage to introduce the 370 00:16:21,060 --> 00:16:18,100 night then ship came out and covered the 371 00:16:22,769 --> 00:16:21,070 stats and calculations for Mr Wong to 372 00:16:26,430 --> 00:16:22,779 pass he would need to score at least 373 00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:26,440 eight hits out of nine Kristin gave an 374 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:29,290 overview of mr. Wong and his claim then 375 00:16:33,369 --> 00:16:31,570 I entered the stage and really has it 376 00:16:35,889 --> 00:16:33,379 happened had nothing to say 377 00:16:38,199 --> 00:16:35,899 we then did a demonstration run of the 378 00:16:39,969 --> 00:16:38,209 test with Brian Walker taking the part 379 00:16:42,249 --> 00:16:39,979 of the subject for the benefit of the 380 00:16:45,339 --> 00:16:42,259 audience as they would not be able to 381 00:16:47,019 --> 00:16:45,349 see the vital part of the test maybe the 382 00:16:50,019 --> 00:16:47,029 most important procedure at this point 383 00:16:52,689 --> 00:16:50,029 was to have mr. Wang agree to and sign a 384 00:16:55,149 --> 00:16:52,699 copy of the formal document this made it 385 00:16:57,729 --> 00:16:55,159 clear that we were testing his claimed 386 00:17:01,359 --> 00:16:57,739 ability under conditions to which he 387 00:17:03,609 --> 00:17:01,369 agreed now bannerchek jamie chip and mr. 388 00:17:05,460 --> 00:17:03,619 wang went to the back of the stage while 389 00:17:08,079 --> 00:17:05,470 Kristen and I stayed near the front 390 00:17:10,749 --> 00:17:08,089 subject number one was brought from the 391 00:17:12,850 --> 00:17:10,759 corridor and I showed her to her seat in 392 00:17:14,799 --> 00:17:12,860 front of the cardboard screen and box I 393 00:17:16,090 --> 00:17:14,809 placed her hand in the box for a few 394 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:16,100 moments so she could get accustomed to 395 00:17:21,759 --> 00:17:19,610 her arm being at that angle bannerchek 396 00:17:24,189 --> 00:17:21,769 gave the word that mr. Wang was ready 397 00:17:25,659 --> 00:17:24,199 the curtains were drawn I helped the 398 00:17:28,149 --> 00:17:25,669 subject with the blindfold and 399 00:17:30,369 --> 00:17:28,159 headphones and guided her hand once 400 00:17:32,980 --> 00:17:30,379 again into the box behind the curtains 401 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:32,990 and unseen to the audience chip reached 402 00:17:37,539 --> 00:17:35,210 into the bag pulled out one of the 403 00:17:39,820 --> 00:17:37,549 ping-pong balls and trial number one was 404 00:17:42,460 --> 00:17:39,830 underway with mr. Wang or Jamie 405 00:17:44,350 --> 00:17:42,470 approaching the box as I stood there on 406 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:44,360 the stage my mind taking over the 407 00:17:49,389 --> 00:17:46,610 seconds I looked over to Christian and I 408 00:17:51,669 --> 00:17:49,399 thought how come she gets a chair the 409 00:17:54,029 --> 00:17:51,679 audience is Everett tam showed great 410 00:17:56,590 --> 00:17:54,039 respect you could hear a pin drop 411 00:17:58,840 --> 00:17:56,600 bannerchek denounced when the time for 412 00:18:00,820 --> 00:17:58,850 session number one was up and I walked 413 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:00,830 over and told the subject a few minutes 414 00:18:05,049 --> 00:18:02,570 later we were ready for session number 415 00:18:06,490 --> 00:18:05,059 two when session number two is over I 416 00:18:08,860 --> 00:18:06,500 removed the blindfold and headphones 417 00:18:10,779 --> 00:18:08,870 from the subject the curtains open 418 00:18:13,330 --> 00:18:10,789 Banacek came around from the back of the 419 00:18:15,610 --> 00:18:13,340 stage and asked the subject did you feel 420 00:18:18,100 --> 00:18:15,620 something during the first session the 421 00:18:20,820 --> 00:18:18,110 subject answered yes did you feel 422 00:18:24,399 --> 00:18:20,830 something during the second session no 423 00:18:26,740 --> 00:18:24,409 Kristen wrote 01 on the scoreboard now 424 00:18:29,259 --> 00:18:26,750 chip revealed who went first and second 425 00:18:31,930 --> 00:18:29,269 as it turned out in this case it was 426 00:18:35,769 --> 00:18:31,940 Jamie who had stepped up first so this 427 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:35,779 trial was a fail for Mr Wong the subject 428 00:18:39,430 --> 00:18:37,610 was thanked and shown off the stage and 429 00:18:41,499 --> 00:18:39,440 the next subject sent in from the 430 00:18:43,090 --> 00:18:41,509 corridor the same process followed with 431 00:18:45,549 --> 00:18:43,100 resting her hand in the box for a few 432 00:18:46,419 --> 00:18:45,559 moments then placing the blindfold and 433 00:18:49,499 --> 00:18:46,429 headphones 434 00:18:51,669 --> 00:18:49,509 on trial number two session number one 435 00:18:53,769 --> 00:18:51,679 proceeded as normal but at the end 436 00:18:56,259 --> 00:18:53,779 bannerchek instructed me to remove the 437 00:18:58,600 --> 00:18:56,269 blindfold and headphones which were not 438 00:19:01,239 --> 00:18:58,610 originally planned but gave our subject 439 00:19:03,639 --> 00:19:01,249 a slight rest then the gear went back on 440 00:19:06,430 --> 00:19:03,649 for the next session when the time was 441 00:19:08,980 --> 00:19:06,440 up for session number two I remove the 442 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:08,990 blindfold and headphones the curtains 443 00:19:12,399 --> 00:19:10,730 open bannerchek came around from the 444 00:19:14,379 --> 00:19:12,409 back of the stage and asked the subject 445 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:14,389 did you feel something during the first 446 00:19:19,049 --> 00:19:17,570 session the subject answered yes did you 447 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:19,059 feel something during the second session 448 00:19:25,239 --> 00:19:22,369 also yes we had anticipated this 449 00:19:28,450 --> 00:19:25,249 possibility so Banacek then asked in 450 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:28,460 which session did it feel stronger the 451 00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:31,970 answer the second session Kristin rota 452 00:19:37,180 --> 00:19:34,369 to on the scoreboard now chip revealed 453 00:19:39,430 --> 00:19:37,190 who went first and second as it turned 454 00:19:42,669 --> 00:19:39,440 out in this case it was Mr Wong who had 455 00:19:45,430 --> 00:19:42,679 stepped up first so the trial again was 456 00:19:48,129 --> 00:19:45,440 a fail unfortunately this meant the test 457 00:19:49,899 --> 00:19:48,139 overall was considered a fail for Mr 458 00:19:52,419 --> 00:19:49,909 Wong as he needed to score at least 459 00:19:54,850 --> 00:19:52,429 eight out of nine two passed on the 460 00:19:57,369 --> 00:19:54,860 night even though to first up fouls was 461 00:19:58,960 --> 00:19:57,379 always on the cards it was still a 462 00:20:00,820 --> 00:19:58,970 little disappointing in what I 463 00:20:02,889 --> 00:20:00,830 considered to be a sign of his sincerity 464 00:20:05,350 --> 00:20:02,899 Mr Wong was happy to answer questions 465 00:20:07,509 --> 00:20:05,360 from the audience I ducked down to have 466 00:20:09,970 --> 00:20:07,519 a word to Randy who wanted us to be sure 467 00:20:12,460 --> 00:20:09,980 that mr. Wong received a warm applause 468 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:12,470 which is exactly what happened as the 469 00:20:16,810 --> 00:20:14,690 crowd filed out some people came up to 470 00:20:19,330 --> 00:20:16,820 question details of the test or to get a 471 00:20:21,940 --> 00:20:19,340 better idea of why we did this or that 472 00:20:24,730 --> 00:20:21,950 one concern raised was that it should 473 00:20:26,769 --> 00:20:24,740 have been me and not Banacek who asked 474 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:26,779 questions of the subjects after each 475 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:29,450 trial to maintain a double-blind aspect 476 00:20:33,820 --> 00:20:31,610 we took the point into consideration as 477 00:20:35,980 --> 00:20:33,830 important should we have progressed to 478 00:20:37,690 --> 00:20:35,990 the full-blown challenge despite mr. 479 00:20:39,580 --> 00:20:37,700 Wong's confidence in his abilities 480 00:20:41,769 --> 00:20:39,590 choosing the subjects for the test 481 00:20:43,989 --> 00:20:41,779 himself taking part in the planning and 482 00:20:45,489 --> 00:20:43,999 agreeing to the conditions members of 483 00:20:48,310 --> 00:20:45,499 the million-dollar challenge committee 484 00:20:50,619 --> 00:20:48,320 and the TAM audience remained skeptical 485 00:20:53,109 --> 00:20:50,629 of his claim the energy or power or 486 00:20:54,940 --> 00:20:53,119 force he believes he possesses was 487 00:20:57,519 --> 00:20:54,950 seemingly absent during the preliminary 488 00:20:59,980 --> 00:20:57,529 tests and also failed on most of the 489 00:21:00,700 --> 00:20:59,990 subjects during the pretests in the days 490 00:21:03,669 --> 00:21:00,710 before 491 00:21:06,029 --> 00:21:03,679 it is possible that any reported 492 00:21:08,260 --> 00:21:06,039 sensation is more likely to be a 493 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:08,270 psychological effect or simply a 494 00:21:13,510 --> 00:21:11,090 consequence of the arm and hand being 495 00:21:17,289 --> 00:21:13,520 held out during the process rather than 496 00:21:18,580 --> 00:21:17,299 a mystical unknown power I would like to 497 00:21:20,889 --> 00:21:18,590 thank the members the million-dollar 498 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:20,899 challenge Committee for once again 499 00:21:26,019 --> 00:21:22,970 allowing me to take part in the event 500 00:21:37,149 --> 00:21:26,029 and especially to mr. womp who had the 501 00:21:39,149 --> 00:21:37,159 courage of his convictions now on 502 00:21:41,860 --> 00:21:39,159 Belfast FM we turn to the personal ads 503 00:21:44,169 --> 00:21:41,870 easygoing and confident skeptic seeks 504 00:21:46,210 --> 00:21:44,179 other critical thinkers for fun laughter 505 00:21:48,279 --> 00:21:46,220 and good times must be willing to apply 506 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:48,289 logic liberally and a good listener 507 00:21:52,330 --> 00:21:49,970 expect something new and interesting 508 00:21:54,250 --> 00:21:52,340 every month come on meet me in Belfast 509 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:54,260 in Northern Ireland if this sounds like 510 00:22:04,060 --> 00:21:56,090 you check out my profile on bail for 511 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:06,620 welcome to a week in science from our 512 00:22:10,580 --> 00:22:08,610 ions bringing you the science you need 513 00:22:12,860 --> 00:22:10,590 to know you've just made your way out of 514 00:22:14,450 --> 00:22:12,870 a really frustrating traffic jam and 515 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:14,460 you're looking around for the reason may 516 00:22:19,190 --> 00:22:16,410 be an accident or roadworks but you 517 00:22:23,860 --> 00:22:19,200 can't see anything so what in the world 518 00:22:28,430 --> 00:22:26,240 mathematicians use different models to 519 00:22:31,580 --> 00:22:28,440 explain these so-called phantom traffic 520 00:22:34,070 --> 00:22:31,590 jams one popular model likens traffic to 521 00:22:36,710 --> 00:22:34,080 a flowing liquid and traffic jams to a 522 00:22:39,289 --> 00:22:36,720 shockwave to investigate this Japanese 523 00:22:41,870 --> 00:22:39,299 researchers put 22 cars on a circular 524 00:22:45,289 --> 00:22:41,880 track and asked them to drive around at 525 00:22:47,810 --> 00:22:45,299 a steady 30 km/h for a little while all 526 00:22:50,450 --> 00:22:47,820 goes well but it takes just one car to 527 00:22:52,669 --> 00:22:50,460 slightly change speed to cause problems 528 00:22:55,399 --> 00:22:52,679 making the car behind slow down further 529 00:22:57,620 --> 00:22:55,409 and the next car back to slow down even 530 00:22:59,659 --> 00:22:57,630 more again the cars begin to clump 531 00:23:01,730 --> 00:22:59,669 together and this clumping effect 532 00:23:04,070 --> 00:23:01,740 reverberates backwards around the track 533 00:23:06,830 --> 00:23:04,080 like a shockwave even leaving two brief 534 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:06,840 halts at points theoretically if traffic 535 00:23:13,279 --> 00:23:09,090 remains heavy this traveling wave could 536 00:23:15,919 --> 00:23:13,289 just keep going and going forever these 537 00:23:18,110 --> 00:23:15,929 invisible waves of congestion also occur 538 00:23:19,909 --> 00:23:18,120 in real life traffic jams they create a 539 00:23:22,519 --> 00:23:19,919 ripple effect which doesn't go away 540 00:23:24,950 --> 00:23:22,529 until all cars return to the same pace 541 00:23:27,710 --> 00:23:24,960 to prevent a jam you should maintain a 542 00:23:29,779 --> 00:23:27,720 steady speed so no changing lanes no 543 00:23:31,970 --> 00:23:29,789 slowing down to look at things and using 544 00:23:34,159 --> 00:23:31,980 your cruise control and you can always 545 00:23:35,779 --> 00:23:34,169 carpool or use public transport to 546 00:23:38,690 --> 00:23:35,789 reduce congestion in the first place 547 00:23:40,639 --> 00:23:38,700 another potential solution is driverless 548 00:23:42,590 --> 00:23:40,649 cars which are better at keeping a 549 00:23:44,990 --> 00:23:42,600 constant pace and which can wirelessly 550 00:23:46,630 --> 00:23:45,000 communicate with each other to respond 551 00:23:49,250 --> 00:23:46,640 to changing traffic conditions 552 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:49,260 mathematicians help too by improving the 553 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:50,970 algorithms that control our traffic 554 00:23:55,850 --> 00:23:52,890 lights and proved eating when and where 555 00:23:59,110 --> 00:23:55,860 traffic jams will occur and now for fast 556 00:24:02,029 --> 00:23:59,120 facts about pesky traffic 557 00:24:04,129 --> 00:24:02,039 traffic light timings optimize movement 558 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:04,139 for the majority of traffic meaning that 559 00:24:08,450 --> 00:24:06,210 if you're driving against the blue you 560 00:24:10,879 --> 00:24:08,460 could hit a frustrating run of red light 561 00:24:13,279 --> 00:24:10,889 traffic psychology studies show that 562 00:24:15,529 --> 00:24:13,289 women cyclists are given more space on 563 00:24:17,629 --> 00:24:15,539 the road than men and you're more likely 564 00:24:20,570 --> 00:24:17,639 to let a car in front of you if you have 565 00:24:22,369 --> 00:24:20,580 passengers using theoretical physics to 566 00:24:26,989 --> 00:24:22,379 understand traffic congestion is 567 00:24:29,269 --> 00:24:26,999 creatively called gemology and in 2010 a 568 00:24:31,820 --> 00:24:29,279 100 kilometer stretch of highway between 569 00:24:33,980 --> 00:24:31,830 Beijing and Tibet came to a standstill 570 00:24:36,470 --> 00:24:33,990 for two weeks possibly the greatest 571 00:24:38,869 --> 00:24:36,480 traffic jam in history that's it for 572 00:24:41,450 --> 00:24:38,879 this week in science stuck on the maths 573 00:24:43,789 --> 00:24:41,460 about traffic jams go to the RAS website 574 00:24:46,609 --> 00:24:43,799 where we have some links are I aus 575 00:24:49,249 --> 00:24:46,619 stottle k you follow us on twitter at 576 00:24:50,749 --> 00:24:49,259 our iOS and like us on facebook i'm 577 00:24:52,100 --> 00:24:50,759 karen groom and we'll catch you next 578 00:25:01,539 --> 00:24:52,110 week 579 00:25:14,980 --> 00:25:04,789 what we want is some more evidence 580 00:25:20,660 --> 00:25:18,320 okay hello this is Joe alabaster i'm 581 00:25:23,540 --> 00:25:20,670 here at skeptics in the pub in sydney 582 00:25:25,490 --> 00:25:23,550 and we've just had a talk from Richard 583 00:25:27,170 --> 00:25:25,500 Saunders he's been talking about the 584 00:25:29,810 --> 00:25:27,180 jdubs million dollar challenge this year 585 00:25:31,549 --> 00:25:29,820 held at tam the preliminary event is 586 00:25:34,610 --> 00:25:31,559 they're talking about how has been 587 00:25:37,460 --> 00:25:34,620 designed and giving us a bit of a 588 00:25:38,900 --> 00:25:37,470 rundown on how it went and joining me at 589 00:25:40,970 --> 00:25:38,910 the moment you in the pub we got a 590 00:25:43,700 --> 00:25:40,980 little bit of background noise i'm here 591 00:25:46,250 --> 00:25:43,710 with am Bryce hello Ian hello Joe how 592 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:46,260 are you fantastic and yourself excellent 593 00:25:51,350 --> 00:25:48,570 did you enjoy the talk oh yes very much 594 00:25:53,810 --> 00:25:51,360 to hear about Richards antics in Las 595 00:25:56,419 --> 00:25:53,820 Vegas what what an owner's duty it is 596 00:25:58,940 --> 00:25:56,429 willing to go there and pursue skeptical 597 00:26:01,100 --> 00:25:58,950 duties for a week fantastic absolutely 598 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:01,110 terrible i hope that i never have to do 599 00:26:04,850 --> 00:26:02,250 that sort of thing that would be 600 00:26:06,860 --> 00:26:04,860 dreadful and yes don't get me to go 601 00:26:09,500 --> 00:26:06,870 there please Richard my question for 602 00:26:11,360 --> 00:26:09,510 today that I'm asking people what do you 603 00:26:12,830 --> 00:26:11,370 think of skeptical challengers what sort 604 00:26:14,500 --> 00:26:12,840 of value to the end they have these days 605 00:26:17,090 --> 00:26:14,510 the million dollar challenge or 606 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:17,100 Australian skeptics how much doesn't 607 00:26:21,230 --> 00:26:19,530 time ten thousand nine hundred thousand 608 00:26:23,030 --> 00:26:21,240 hundred thousand dollars I'm selling a 609 00:26:24,260 --> 00:26:23,040 short I'm afraid well I think there are 610 00:26:26,990 --> 00:26:24,270 many benefits one thing they say about 611 00:26:29,870 --> 00:26:27,000 skeptics is there so scientific and 612 00:26:31,340 --> 00:26:29,880 technical and dry and humorless that 613 00:26:33,260 --> 00:26:31,350 enables us to have a bit of fun from 614 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:33,270 time to time once it's all over of 615 00:26:36,980 --> 00:26:34,770 course we've got to conduct the tests in 616 00:26:38,780 --> 00:26:36,990 a serious manner and the other one is 617 00:26:42,350 --> 00:26:38,790 that brings our name before the media 618 00:26:43,669 --> 00:26:42,360 whenever whenever we conduct a test and 619 00:26:45,950 --> 00:26:43,679 have some results to put out there 620 00:26:49,580 --> 00:26:45,960 another one connects us with the rich 621 00:26:51,230 --> 00:26:49,590 and famous example that a patron Dick 622 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:51,240 Smith came along to our water dividing 623 00:26:55,669 --> 00:26:53,570 tests long ago in 1989 in his helicopter 624 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:55,679 that's fantastic i think i've actually 625 00:26:59,450 --> 00:26:57,210 seen a video of that is that out on 626 00:27:01,100 --> 00:26:59,460 youtube do you know well this was long 627 00:27:03,590 --> 00:27:01,110 before YouTube was invented that however 628 00:27:06,140 --> 00:27:03,600 I'm sure it's been put there since yes I 629 00:27:08,510 --> 00:27:06,150 understand one of the Australian 630 00:27:11,180 --> 00:27:08,520 skeptics sort of provisos that they've 631 00:27:14,330 --> 00:27:11,190 got for their challenge is that a 632 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:14,340 claimant is willing to have everything 633 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:16,530 reported and potentially go to the media 634 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:18,010 is that the case 635 00:27:22,530 --> 00:27:20,410 yes sweet insist on that otherwise 636 00:27:24,330 --> 00:27:22,540 there's no point in it for example if we 637 00:27:25,620 --> 00:27:24,340 tested someone and they lost a masive we 638 00:27:28,380 --> 00:27:25,630 don't want you to publish the result 639 00:27:31,470 --> 00:27:28,390 we've put in a rather large amount of 640 00:27:33,030 --> 00:27:31,480 work and got nowhere our whole idea is 641 00:27:34,650 --> 00:27:33,040 to find out whether there's any truth in 642 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:34,660 the claims of pseudoscience and the 643 00:27:40,410 --> 00:27:38,250 paranormal and so forth and all that 644 00:27:41,670 --> 00:27:40,420 relies on is publishing that's what we 645 00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:41,680 do we have a magazine in front of us 646 00:27:47,100 --> 00:27:42,970 called the skeptic which we've been 647 00:27:50,850 --> 00:27:47,110 producing that for 33 years I think it 648 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:50,860 is that's cool so podcasts as you can 649 00:27:57,570 --> 00:27:54,250 tell all sorts of other forums in which 650 00:27:59,250 --> 00:27:57,580 we send out results in is so being able 651 00:28:01,740 --> 00:27:59,260 to publish your test is very important 652 00:28:02,970 --> 00:28:01,750 that's why we always insists beforehand 653 00:28:04,980 --> 00:28:02,980 that they agreed to as publishing the 654 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:04,990 results positive or negative and of 655 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:06,610 course that protects them as well 656 00:28:10,830 --> 00:28:08,770 because if they get a positive result 657 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:10,840 that ensures we can d can't deny it 658 00:28:16,140 --> 00:28:12,490 never happened it's all been filmed and 659 00:28:18,570 --> 00:28:16,150 recorded and made available how much 660 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:18,580 work goes into designing one of these 661 00:28:22,860 --> 00:28:20,650 tests understand you've been involved in 662 00:28:24,390 --> 00:28:22,870 designing a tests for Australian 663 00:28:27,590 --> 00:28:24,400 skeptics challenges can you tell me 664 00:28:31,740 --> 00:28:27,600 anything about that yes it's usually 665 00:28:33,390 --> 00:28:31,750 quite a lot of work and part of the 666 00:28:36,090 --> 00:28:33,400 problem is I the biggest problem is 667 00:28:39,030 --> 00:28:36,100 identifying a specific claim which they 668 00:28:41,450 --> 00:28:39,040 can do and which couldn't be done by 669 00:28:44,850 --> 00:28:41,460 other means for example we have many 670 00:28:46,410 --> 00:28:44,860 psychic readers become and so I can talk 671 00:28:47,940 --> 00:28:46,420 to someone and in five minutes I can 672 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:47,950 tell tell you a lot of things about 673 00:28:51,510 --> 00:28:49,570 their personality and their future and 674 00:28:55,230 --> 00:28:51,520 their disposition whether been through 675 00:28:56,610 --> 00:28:55,240 in the past we say yes we've got mini's 676 00:28:58,950 --> 00:28:56,620 cold readers of our own who can do the 677 00:29:00,300 --> 00:28:58,960 same thing prove anything what we need 678 00:29:03,330 --> 00:29:00,310 is something that the men in the street 679 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:03,340 could not do and that usually requires 680 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:07,530 something a bit less dramatic than 681 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:09,090 looking them in the face and telling 682 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:10,530 what they can do usually that it 683 00:29:13,820 --> 00:29:12,330 requires the people to be isolated so 684 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:13,830 you can't get clues to the visual nature 685 00:29:18,020 --> 00:29:16,170 and that's why Richards test with them 686 00:29:19,370 --> 00:29:18,030 separated by a screen it's the minimum 687 00:29:22,220 --> 00:29:19,380 you can do a separate them from visual 688 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:22,230 clues so and so getting agreement from 689 00:29:26,060 --> 00:29:23,850 this between the two parties is the most 690 00:29:27,620 --> 00:29:26,070 difficult part by far they say look I 691 00:29:28,940 --> 00:29:27,630 always do it this way why can't you test 692 00:29:30,500 --> 00:29:28,950 that which they will it wouldn't be a 693 00:29:32,780 --> 00:29:30,510 valid test because it's not ruling up 694 00:29:35,150 --> 00:29:32,790 chance alone acting or cold reading 695 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:35,160 skills and that's why it's difficult to 696 00:29:39,290 --> 00:29:37,130 find her something that can be tested 697 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:39,300 people generally willing to collaborate 698 00:29:47,530 --> 00:29:42,570 with you on these tests ninety percent 699 00:29:54,020 --> 00:29:50,780 in Richards talk we found out that the 700 00:29:56,330 --> 00:29:54,030 time was very very cooperative from the 701 00:29:59,150 --> 00:29:56,340 word go it was clear that he believed in 702 00:30:00,410 --> 00:29:59,160 at one hundred percent and would be 703 00:30:03,950 --> 00:30:00,420 happy to go ahead with the test because 704 00:30:06,950 --> 00:30:03,960 he believed he was going to win we have 705 00:30:09,350 --> 00:30:06,960 had some other challenges who have been 706 00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:09,360 unhappy and tried to block us at every 707 00:30:15,350 --> 00:30:13,170 turn by changing the protocol and sad to 708 00:30:17,030 --> 00:30:15,360 say I suspect but they knew they were 709 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:17,040 cheating and they found out they had 710 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:18,930 some prospective way of cheating they 711 00:30:26,150 --> 00:30:24,810 believed and hence that's best it was 712 00:30:27,500 --> 00:30:26,160 because they knew they were cheating and 713 00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:27,510 they weren't sincere that it didn't go 714 00:30:31,190 --> 00:30:29,970 ahead but we do find the general we 715 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:31,200 certainly the ones who were sincere a 716 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:32,970 very cooperative and we're happy to 717 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:34,650 reach an agreement but it can still take 718 00:30:40,370 --> 00:30:37,530 many months 4 weeks to reach have a 719 00:30:42,590 --> 00:30:40,380 great promo code and how many people 720 00:30:45,140 --> 00:30:42,600 that approach you what percentage of 721 00:30:48,850 --> 00:30:45,150 them end up going reaching the point 722 00:30:51,620 --> 00:30:48,860 where they're about to take a test I 723 00:30:53,930 --> 00:30:51,630 would say and these something like one 724 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:53,940 in ten which we reach the point of 725 00:30:56,990 --> 00:30:55,530 proceeding to a test or agreeing to a 726 00:30:59,000 --> 00:30:57,000 protocol so there are many ways they can 727 00:31:00,920 --> 00:30:59,010 drop out well they keep insisting on 728 00:31:04,130 --> 00:31:00,930 impossible conditions yeah but I keep 729 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:04,140 insisting on isn't doesn't contravene 730 00:31:07,070 --> 00:31:05,730 normal science for example reading 731 00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:07,080 someone face to face and telling you 732 00:31:11,270 --> 00:31:08,850 about their life doesn't you know when I 733 00:31:12,290 --> 00:31:11,280 when I sat down a list of questions for 734 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:12,300 example 735 00:31:15,530 --> 00:31:14,490 country was this person born in how many 736 00:31:16,970 --> 00:31:15,540 times I've been married how many 737 00:31:19,940 --> 00:31:16,980 children that they got which suburbs 738 00:31:21,470 --> 00:31:19,950 they live in how old are they there are 739 00:31:23,660 --> 00:31:21,480 specific things with the right wrong 740 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:23,670 answer then they quickly drop out and 741 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:25,530 say no I I had more in mind what I 742 00:31:28,310 --> 00:31:27,210 normally do just tell you whether 743 00:31:32,030 --> 00:31:28,320 someone is introverted or extroverted 744 00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:32,040 and whether they whether I have suffered 745 00:31:35,630 --> 00:31:33,810 a setback in their life where they know 746 00:31:38,180 --> 00:31:35,640 someone who's had a serious disease yeah 747 00:31:40,700 --> 00:31:38,190 all these very big claims that pretty 748 00:31:42,170 --> 00:31:40,710 much can apply to more or less anybody 749 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:42,180 that's right fish with a little bit of 750 00:31:48,770 --> 00:31:44,850 gulper shifting as well it's abandon 751 00:31:50,540 --> 00:31:48,780 statements yes um aside from people who 752 00:31:53,710 --> 00:31:50,550 claim to have psychic powers what other 753 00:31:57,230 --> 00:31:53,720 sorts of applicants have you had well 754 00:32:01,340 --> 00:31:57,240 water divining and metal divining yeah 755 00:32:03,170 --> 00:32:01,350 is it more of a scientific nature so we 756 00:32:05,810 --> 00:32:03,180 call it paranormal rather than psychic 757 00:32:08,450 --> 00:32:05,820 the supernatural so that's one that I 758 00:32:11,450 --> 00:32:08,460 like because in theory you could build a 759 00:32:12,710 --> 00:32:11,460 device that looked under the ground and 760 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:12,720 told you what is normally hidden to the 761 00:32:17,990 --> 00:32:14,970 census see sorrow built many 762 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:18,000 magnetometers and ground radars I've 763 00:32:22,610 --> 00:32:20,250 been involved in some of them myself so 764 00:32:24,140 --> 00:32:22,620 we have to rule out the fact that the 765 00:32:26,690 --> 00:32:24,150 person likely using those and that's the 766 00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:26,700 sort of thing we can do but if they did 767 00:32:30,140 --> 00:32:28,050 have a means of water dividing using 768 00:32:32,090 --> 00:32:30,150 only a rod yeah and we'd be delighted 769 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:32,100 because it imagine what it would do to 770 00:32:35,900 --> 00:32:33,810 the water resources of the world if that 771 00:32:37,580 --> 00:32:35,910 worked I always think it'd be absolutely 772 00:32:40,460 --> 00:32:37,590 fascinating if somebody did actually 773 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:40,470 pass one of these and we yeah get a 774 00:32:44,660 --> 00:32:42,930 chance to have a look at how things may 775 00:32:49,940 --> 00:32:44,670 work that we haven't been aware of until 776 00:32:51,980 --> 00:32:49,950 now but yet one of the most one of the 777 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:51,990 most fast-rising areas is in energy 778 00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:54,810 because as our listeners may have 779 00:32:59,420 --> 00:32:57,090 noticed the world is in an energy crisis 780 00:33:02,780 --> 00:32:59,430 our consumption of energy is growing 781 00:33:05,210 --> 00:33:02,790 exponentially it's been a bit dampens 782 00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:05,220 by the price of electricity but that's 783 00:33:09,950 --> 00:33:06,930 steadily growing throughout the world 784 00:33:11,750 --> 00:33:09,960 while their resources of coal and the 785 00:33:15,770 --> 00:33:11,760 ability of the atmosphere to absorb the 786 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:15,780 gases is reaching a limit so that means 787 00:33:19,390 --> 00:33:16,890 that there's a lot of money to be made 788 00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:19,400 through energy scams and in particular 789 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:21,810 claims for energy saving devices for 790 00:33:25,820 --> 00:33:23,490 example something you plug in the power 791 00:33:28,970 --> 00:33:25,830 point and it perhaps the power used by 792 00:33:31,340 --> 00:33:28,980 your fridge that's something that we can 793 00:33:32,660 --> 00:33:31,350 test and a more dramatic one these 794 00:33:35,210 --> 00:33:32,670 things that you can put in your basement 795 00:33:36,590 --> 00:33:35,220 and they generate electricity power you 796 00:33:38,450 --> 00:33:36,600 ask and you don't even have to put 797 00:33:40,610 --> 00:33:38,460 petrol in them the free energy devices 798 00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:40,620 do you come across many of those yes 799 00:33:43,790 --> 00:33:42,330 quite a few years I've got a great 800 00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:43,800 collection of articles on that and I've 801 00:33:48,020 --> 00:33:45,810 tested quite a few over the years for 802 00:33:49,820 --> 00:33:48,030 the skeptic magazine I find it quite 803 00:33:51,740 --> 00:33:49,830 fascinating our mother she noticed on 804 00:33:53,150 --> 00:33:51,750 Twitter a lot of people approached dr. 805 00:33:55,130 --> 00:33:53,160 Karl pretty much on a daily basis 806 00:33:58,520 --> 00:33:55,140 claiming to have free energy devices and 807 00:34:00,350 --> 00:33:58,530 his current approach to this seems to be 808 00:34:02,990 --> 00:34:00,360 to tell them just to go and make them 809 00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:03,000 and bring them out and we'll can test 810 00:34:09,380 --> 00:34:05,730 them but before that yeah the claims 811 00:34:11,659 --> 00:34:09,390 it's not so much yes I know it was very 812 00:34:14,180 --> 00:34:11,669 said I've got a friend who's a retired 813 00:34:16,790 --> 00:34:14,190 engineer which in fact I am as well and 814 00:34:19,220 --> 00:34:16,800 he's turned his hand to a free energy 815 00:34:21,230 --> 00:34:19,230 device every year or so he invites me to 816 00:34:22,820 --> 00:34:21,240 come and look at his energy debate he 817 00:34:24,919 --> 00:34:22,830 says he'll reveal all to me as long as I 818 00:34:27,590 --> 00:34:24,929 promise not to tell the reveal his 819 00:34:29,450 --> 00:34:27,600 secret he's way past retirement age by 820 00:34:31,940 --> 00:34:29,460 now what's he holding the secret on for 821 00:34:33,350 --> 00:34:31,950 what's he waiting for now well then when 822 00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:33,360 I'm jus together in me I'm just look I 823 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:35,010 can't I thought I could have it working 824 00:34:38,060 --> 00:34:36,330 by now but I haven't quite got it 825 00:34:41,330 --> 00:34:38,070 working I'll give you a call in a few 826 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:41,340 days when it's working going on for many 827 00:34:45,230 --> 00:34:43,890 years now so except the setting you want 828 00:34:47,810 --> 00:34:45,240 a little bit 829 00:34:51,020 --> 00:34:47,820 no no no you I think he's having himself 830 00:34:52,159 --> 00:34:51,030 on okay oh thank you very much for 831 00:34:57,410 --> 00:34:52,169 joining me and answering some questions 832 00:35:00,320 --> 00:34:57,420 in to talk to you thank you and now i'm 833 00:35:04,250 --> 00:35:00,330 joined by tim mendham who is editor of 834 00:35:05,540 --> 00:35:04,260 the skeptic magazine and Tim what sort 835 00:35:08,210 --> 00:35:05,550 of value do you think that 836 00:35:09,740 --> 00:35:08,220 million-dollar challenges and Australian 837 00:35:13,190 --> 00:35:09,750 skeptics hundred thousand dollar 838 00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:13,200 challenge have I think that's one of the 839 00:35:17,030 --> 00:35:14,930 key issues actually that people don't 840 00:35:19,010 --> 00:35:17,040 people say that they don't think the 841 00:35:20,750 --> 00:35:19,020 skeptics take themselves seriously or 842 00:35:24,770 --> 00:35:20,760 don't take the situation seriously that 843 00:35:28,460 --> 00:35:24,780 they're just knockers etc these things 844 00:35:29,930 --> 00:35:28,470 actually putting up money is a sure sign 845 00:35:33,020 --> 00:35:29,940 that we are serious because their 846 00:35:34,490 --> 00:35:33,030 significant sums of money and people do 847 00:35:35,750 --> 00:35:34,500 know they're out there now some people 848 00:35:38,270 --> 00:35:35,760 say you're never going to give the money 849 00:35:40,430 --> 00:35:38,280 but we actually do have it we have it in 850 00:35:43,130 --> 00:35:40,440 that account well what happens is that 851 00:35:44,570 --> 00:35:43,140 people don't think the test is going to 852 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:44,580 be too hard people who never actually 853 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:46,410 approached us are always saying although 854 00:35:49,190 --> 00:35:47,610 I'll never give the money away they'll 855 00:35:52,190 --> 00:35:49,200 create a test which is impossible to 856 00:35:53,780 --> 00:35:52,200 achieve to succeed at but one of the 857 00:35:55,430 --> 00:35:53,790 things that we do make sure is as 858 00:35:57,260 --> 00:35:55,440 Richard was talking about in these talk 859 00:35:59,330 --> 00:35:57,270 just earlier on was that we have to make 860 00:36:01,849 --> 00:35:59,340 sure that the the applicant the claimant 861 00:36:03,470 --> 00:36:01,859 understands the test agrees with the 862 00:36:06,020 --> 00:36:03,480 test approved of the test and does so 863 00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:06,030 formally once they do that they realize 864 00:36:10,370 --> 00:36:08,130 the test is aboveboard both sides have 865 00:36:13,010 --> 00:36:10,380 to agree have to be mutually agreeable 866 00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:13,020 that this test is a fair test without 867 00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:15,810 that the test is off so that impacts on 868 00:36:18,740 --> 00:36:17,130 that's as much as it impacts on them 869 00:36:19,820 --> 00:36:18,750 certainly so it's a serious thing the 870 00:36:21,260 --> 00:36:19,830 money is there the money is actually 871 00:36:23,900 --> 00:36:21,270 there and we're very happy to test 872 00:36:25,220 --> 00:36:23,910 people in Australia and most people who 873 00:36:27,500 --> 00:36:25,230 come forward to the tests been one of 874 00:36:29,240 --> 00:36:27,510 the ones mm-hmm who we all regard is 875 00:36:31,370 --> 00:36:29,250 very genuine people they certainly 876 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:31,380 believe they have the ability they just 877 00:36:34,849 --> 00:36:33,450 under the circumstances under the test 878 00:36:36,590 --> 00:36:34,859 which they agree to the protocols they 879 00:36:38,180 --> 00:36:36,600 just haven't been able to do it we have 880 00:36:40,340 --> 00:36:38,190 psychics we have astrologers we have 881 00:36:42,060 --> 00:36:40,350 clairvoyance as well that what the 882 00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:42,070 diviners come up most 883 00:36:47,100 --> 00:36:44,410 and how often do you tend to have people 884 00:36:49,500 --> 00:36:47,110 come and apply to do the challenges I'm 885 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:49,510 the only the front line there so people 886 00:36:54,150 --> 00:36:52,090 when they claim they I first received 887 00:36:58,140 --> 00:36:54,160 their claim that comes in bio email most 888 00:36:59,490 --> 00:36:58,150 the time and I would get one a week but 889 00:37:00,660 --> 00:36:59,500 from all over the world actually we have 890 00:37:02,460 --> 00:37:00,670 to point out that the test has to be 891 00:37:03,450 --> 00:37:02,470 done in Australia okay for Australian 892 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:03,460 residents we're not going to bring 893 00:37:06,780 --> 00:37:05,050 someone over from overseas so have you 894 00:37:08,220 --> 00:37:06,790 ever had somebody willing to travel over 895 00:37:09,390 --> 00:37:08,230 to Australia different people have said 896 00:37:10,890 --> 00:37:09,400 they're willing to travel over the air 897 00:37:14,450 --> 00:37:10,900 but they've never actually you've never 898 00:37:17,670 --> 00:37:14,460 got them to clearly explain what the 899 00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:17,680 talent is okay and not for actually for 900 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:19,690 us to agree to do a test I mean we have 901 00:37:22,860 --> 00:37:20,890 to get that all sort of that before they 902 00:37:24,450 --> 00:37:22,870 made the effort yeah and the expense I 903 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:24,460 mean we point out that if they won the 904 00:37:27,390 --> 00:37:25,450 hundred thousand dollars that would 905 00:37:28,770 --> 00:37:27,400 happily pay for their expenses certainly 906 00:37:31,620 --> 00:37:28,780 in coming here but we don't want people 907 00:37:33,240 --> 00:37:31,630 to do it if it's a fairly sort of dodgy 908 00:37:35,370 --> 00:37:33,250 claim and you're not quite frankly most 909 00:37:38,370 --> 00:37:35,380 of the claims I get in a so vague yeah 910 00:37:41,610 --> 00:37:38,380 and so easily I some of them I can I can 911 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:41,620 explain after a short email okay that 912 00:37:45,060 --> 00:37:43,570 this has been done before we've seen 913 00:37:47,550 --> 00:37:45,070 this before that the method you're 914 00:37:49,140 --> 00:37:47,560 talking about has certain floors look at 915 00:37:50,940 --> 00:37:49,150 this side baked claims that you've been 916 00:37:53,910 --> 00:37:50,950 getting all sorts of things are the 917 00:37:55,530 --> 00:37:53,920 recently I had one who can move an 918 00:37:58,440 --> 00:37:55,540 object like a little propeller under a 919 00:37:59,700 --> 00:37:58,450 glass dome yeah right and you point out 920 00:38:01,080 --> 00:37:59,710 that there's all sorts of things that 921 00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:01,090 you actually can influence that sort of 922 00:38:05,100 --> 00:38:02,890 thing this year that yeah I'm not 923 00:38:07,230 --> 00:38:05,110 touching it but you know there's also 924 00:38:08,730 --> 00:38:07,240 thinking ab is a sealed down again 925 00:38:10,740 --> 00:38:08,740 urging something or this sort of thing 926 00:38:12,720 --> 00:38:10,750 that various things yeah i mean the 927 00:38:15,150 --> 00:38:12,730 tests have to be have to be very clearly 928 00:38:17,460 --> 00:38:15,160 claimed and the protocols have to be so 929 00:38:18,900 --> 00:38:17,470 over there but that's not the fun not 930 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:18,910 the fun for us is actually figuring out 931 00:38:22,260 --> 00:38:20,170 what's a good test of these things when 932 00:38:25,390 --> 00:38:22,270 the claim is not very clear 933 00:38:27,100 --> 00:38:25,400 so people say what's your claim say 934 00:38:28,510 --> 00:38:27,110 clearly what do you get out of it this 935 00:38:29,650 --> 00:38:28,520 one that Richard spoke about the guy has 936 00:38:31,750 --> 00:38:29,660 energy but I'm not quite sure what he 937 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:31,760 does really energy yeah what is energy 938 00:38:37,510 --> 00:38:34,490 using bad energy the energy didn't 939 00:38:39,070 --> 00:38:37,520 really have a specific name or somewhere 940 00:38:41,470 --> 00:38:39,080 that it came from or a purpose either 941 00:38:42,730 --> 00:38:41,480 but I hope it was enough to test I have 942 00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:42,740 been people who were very big vague 943 00:38:46,330 --> 00:38:44,090 about they claimed a very insistent on 944 00:38:47,710 --> 00:38:46,340 getting the money ah I had one person 945 00:38:49,870 --> 00:38:47,720 who family up a couple of times it was 946 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:49,880 incredibly abusive mm-hmm I mean 947 00:38:52,780 --> 00:38:51,170 probably the most abusive ankles have 948 00:38:54,610 --> 00:38:52,790 ever had in my life how's it off sound 949 00:38:56,290 --> 00:38:54,620 off very nice very polite yeah within 950 00:38:58,690 --> 00:38:56,300 about 30 seconds was calling me every 951 00:39:00,130 --> 00:38:58,700 name under the Sun that had four letters 952 00:39:01,660 --> 00:39:00,140 in and everything I said hang on come 953 00:39:04,030 --> 00:39:01,670 down come down I hope you don't expect a 954 00:39:06,460 --> 00:39:04,040 carrot challenge this way he needed the 955 00:39:08,890 --> 00:39:06,470 money okay and there he was desperate 956 00:39:11,530 --> 00:39:08,900 together yeah he yeah he quickly got off 957 00:39:13,420 --> 00:39:11,540 on the wrong foot Gerald oh yeah but 958 00:39:15,310 --> 00:39:13,430 generally do you find people are polite 959 00:39:17,260 --> 00:39:15,320 yes scare most murmurs are very good 960 00:39:19,870 --> 00:39:17,270 mostly firmly believe in their talent 961 00:39:21,010 --> 00:39:19,880 and I and I mean we're happy to test 962 00:39:23,530 --> 00:39:21,020 them as long as we can get a good client 963 00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:23,540 a clear client that's wonderful thank 964 00:39:28,900 --> 00:39:25,370 you very much for talking with me to my 965 00:39:31,990 --> 00:39:28,910 pleasure and now i'm joined by Ray Ray 966 00:39:33,580 --> 00:39:32,000 has traveled even further than I have to 967 00:39:36,670 --> 00:39:33,590 come to skeptics in the pub this evening 968 00:39:39,460 --> 00:39:36,680 where are you from right Ralston Ralston 969 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:39,470 so that's inland from katoomba one and a 970 00:39:45,510 --> 00:39:42,650 half hours yes goodness may have you 971 00:39:48,190 --> 00:39:45,520 enjoyed your night so far yes very much 972 00:39:51,100 --> 00:39:48,200 expertly talk by Richard that's very 973 00:39:52,900 --> 00:39:51,110 good to hear i'm wondering regarding the 974 00:39:55,630 --> 00:39:52,910 million-dollar challenge and also the 975 00:39:57,610 --> 00:39:55,640 australian skeptics $100,000 challenge 976 00:39:59,620 --> 00:39:57,620 what sort of value do you think that 977 00:40:03,490 --> 00:39:59,630 these things have these days huge 978 00:40:05,050 --> 00:40:03,500 amounts because some in science they get 979 00:40:08,170 --> 00:40:05,060 put up before scientists and 980 00:40:11,089 --> 00:40:08,180 peer-reviewed and such and knock down if 981 00:40:13,870 --> 00:40:11,099 someone says that i can 982 00:40:16,370 --> 00:40:13,880 lift Nash tray or whatever it might be 983 00:40:18,769 --> 00:40:16,380 you can reply to them well that's 984 00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:18,779 excellent I know the perfect challenge 985 00:40:23,749 --> 00:40:22,170 for you and then send them off to this 986 00:40:26,029 --> 00:40:23,759 I've done that to a couple of people 987 00:40:29,299 --> 00:40:26,039 ought not people who can claim what they 988 00:40:32,150 --> 00:40:29,309 can do but people who said I know a 989 00:40:34,609 --> 00:40:32,160 person that can do this that's a whole 990 00:40:37,039 --> 00:40:34,619 excellent there's a challenge out there 991 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:37,049 for them so it's something to enter into 992 00:40:43,099 --> 00:40:39,930 conversation to sort of say to people as 993 00:40:45,559 --> 00:40:43,109 a response to an interesting plan well 994 00:40:47,479 --> 00:40:45,569 you can do this as opposed to just to 995 00:40:48,950 --> 00:40:47,489 humoring them on their claim or asking 996 00:40:52,099 --> 00:40:48,960 them more about it or discussing it it's 997 00:40:55,130 --> 00:40:52,109 a by version perhaps to tell people that 998 00:40:58,999 --> 00:40:55,140 they can go to the skeptics yes but it's 999 00:41:00,769 --> 00:40:59,009 also saying that if these people can do 1000 00:41:03,380 --> 00:41:00,779 what they claim they can do they can 1001 00:41:06,289 --> 00:41:03,390 actually make money out of it ah and be 1002 00:41:08,630 --> 00:41:06,299 proven or disproven in case may be and 1003 00:41:12,710 --> 00:41:08,640 the good thing is skeptics aren't out to 1004 00:41:15,319 --> 00:41:12,720 disprove their out to actually try and 1005 00:41:16,519 --> 00:41:15,329 help them prove their claim that's 1006 00:41:19,489 --> 00:41:16,529 certainly I mean I think there's a 1007 00:41:22,009 --> 00:41:19,499 general sense that if somebody's claim 1008 00:41:24,620 --> 00:41:22,019 was proven to be true it would be 1009 00:41:27,229 --> 00:41:24,630 fascinating it wouldn't be a defeat for 1010 00:41:29,299 --> 00:41:27,239 the skeptics to be what do you think it 1011 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:29,309 would turn the world upside down perhaps 1012 00:41:34,249 --> 00:41:30,930 literally depending on what that Bang 1013 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:34,259 was yes thank you very much right no 1014 00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:37,890 worries and now i'm sitting here with 1015 00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:41,130 Eric hello Eric hey how are you I'm good 1016 00:41:46,130 --> 00:41:43,650 how are you yeah excellent I understand 1017 00:41:49,339 --> 00:41:46,140 you're actually visiting from America at 1018 00:41:51,700 --> 00:41:49,349 the moment yes I'm here attending a the 1019 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:51,710 Uni working on a master's degree walking 1020 00:41:57,010 --> 00:41:53,530 masters can ask what you're studying 1021 00:41:58,630 --> 00:41:57,020 coaching psychology Oh psychology is so 1022 00:42:00,400 --> 00:41:58,640 you might have something to say about 1023 00:42:03,579 --> 00:42:00,410 some of the million-dollar challenges 1024 00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:03,589 here I'm actually asking people today 1025 00:42:08,140 --> 00:42:06,290 what sort of value do you think that the 1026 00:42:09,790 --> 00:42:08,150 JFS million-dollar challenge and the 1027 00:42:12,370 --> 00:42:09,800 Australian skeptics hundred thousand 1028 00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:12,380 dollar challenge have I think it 1029 00:42:17,020 --> 00:42:13,970 provides a lot of value in the sense 1030 00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:17,030 that you look at certain claims to 1031 00:42:21,180 --> 00:42:18,530 understand whether they provide some 1032 00:42:23,829 --> 00:42:21,190 efficacy or some true mahila clang and 1033 00:42:27,130 --> 00:42:23,839 that it can help individuals in the 1034 00:42:29,740 --> 00:42:27,140 general public sort of weed out some of 1035 00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:29,750 these claims that are not true yeah and 1036 00:42:35,260 --> 00:42:32,089 hopefully stop some of the money that's 1037 00:42:37,060 --> 00:42:35,270 been spent been so it can publicize some 1038 00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:37,070 of these claims that get made and 1039 00:42:41,230 --> 00:42:39,770 actually publicize them rather than the 1040 00:42:43,660 --> 00:42:41,240 claimants talking about them in the 1041 00:42:46,900 --> 00:42:43,670 media we're getting a bit of a more 1042 00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:46,910 skeptical view and a bit of a testing 1043 00:42:53,079 --> 00:42:50,210 going on there excellent how are you in 1044 00:42:54,820 --> 00:42:53,089 Australia for um I'll be here to 1045 00:42:57,640 --> 00:42:54,830 December only been here for a few months 1046 00:42:59,770 --> 00:42:57,650 yeah so only if you much more more left 1047 00:43:01,200 --> 00:42:59,780 to go well we're here every month if 1048 00:43:03,359 --> 00:43:01,210 you're interested in joining us again 1049 00:43:05,950 --> 00:43:03,369 yeah I'm definitely can see you cover 1050 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:05,960 fantastic thank you very much tific 1051 00:43:11,140 --> 00:43:09,050 bye-bye now i'm here with Natalie 1052 00:43:13,300 --> 00:43:11,150 Natalie what do you think is the value 1053 00:43:15,310 --> 00:43:13,310 of the j refs million-dollar challenge 1054 00:43:16,839 --> 00:43:15,320 the australian skeptics hundred thousand 1055 00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:16,849 dollar challenge all the sceptical 1056 00:43:20,510 --> 00:43:18,450 challenges 1057 00:43:22,540 --> 00:43:20,520 well the value for me is when I'm having 1058 00:43:25,940 --> 00:43:22,550 conversations of people who have 1059 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:25,950 alternative beliefs and such um I don't 1060 00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:28,050 have the scientific knowledge to be able 1061 00:43:33,230 --> 00:43:30,810 to argue with them and so much but it's 1062 00:43:35,900 --> 00:43:33,240 great to say when they're I'm confident 1063 00:43:38,599 --> 00:43:35,910 in their own beliefs and they're adamant 1064 00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:38,609 that they're true and such and I talk to 1065 00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:40,770 them about this challenge and they said 1066 00:43:44,300 --> 00:43:42,570 you know it's available let's say we 1067 00:43:46,190 --> 00:43:44,310 don't need the right now so yes but you 1068 00:43:48,050 --> 00:43:46,200 can use the money to donate to charity 1069 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:48,060 or whatever you like but if you really 1070 00:43:51,859 --> 00:43:50,130 adamant that in your beliefs and you 1071 00:43:53,990 --> 00:43:51,869 want to prove it this is a way to do it 1072 00:43:56,599 --> 00:43:54,000 because its peer reviewed and it's done 1073 00:43:58,160 --> 00:43:56,609 in such a way do you find many of these 1074 00:43:59,690 --> 00:43:58,170 people do you think they want to be 1075 00:44:01,609 --> 00:43:59,700 tested or they just want to make their 1076 00:44:05,540 --> 00:44:01,619 claim without really having it checked 1077 00:44:08,390 --> 00:44:05,550 on I don't believe they have ever taken 1078 00:44:10,250 --> 00:44:08,400 it up about the challenge of course or 1079 00:44:14,569 --> 00:44:10,260 they haven't even looked it up but it's 1080 00:44:17,599 --> 00:44:14,579 effective oh it's easy to just say it's 1081 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:17,609 there yeah give them the option and it 1082 00:44:21,050 --> 00:44:19,410 stops the arguments sometimes you 1083 00:44:22,730 --> 00:44:21,060 understand or not I'll give it people 1084 00:44:25,190 --> 00:44:22,740 you can you can go round and round in 1085 00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:25,200 exactly it's wonderful to be able to 1086 00:44:29,450 --> 00:44:27,210 refer people on to this circuit and the 1087 00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:29,460 onus is on them to prove themselves not 1088 00:44:35,809 --> 00:44:32,010 to me due to have to you know Basham 1089 00:44:37,309 --> 00:44:35,819 against it also and this is the fact ya 1090 00:44:40,819 --> 00:44:37,319 know that's very good thank you very 1091 00:44:43,460 --> 00:44:40,829 much earlier amazing and now I'm here 1092 00:44:45,230 --> 00:44:43,470 with Jason Brown who have been speaking 1093 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:45,240 to online for quite a long while and I'm 1094 00:44:48,950 --> 00:44:46,890 meeting for the first time this evening 1095 00:44:50,660 --> 00:44:48,960 at Sydney skeptics in the pub good to 1096 00:44:53,540 --> 00:44:50,670 meet you haha Joe it's nice to meet you 1097 00:44:56,390 --> 00:44:53,550 here fantastic I'm asking people today 1098 00:44:57,890 --> 00:44:56,400 what value do you think the J refs 1099 00:44:59,480 --> 00:44:57,900 million dollar challenge and the 1100 00:45:01,280 --> 00:44:59,490 Australian skeptics hundred thousand 1101 00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:01,290 dollar challenge and all the skeptical 1102 00:45:05,930 --> 00:45:04,050 challengers have well there's a thought 1103 00:45:08,150 --> 00:45:05,940 I don't want everyone else has said but 1104 00:45:14,690 --> 00:45:08,160 I think 1105 00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:14,700 we've got come on bring it on ah ok so a 1106 00:45:20,390 --> 00:45:17,930 bit of bravado bit of bravado convert 1107 00:45:23,660 --> 00:45:20,400 excellent word I think that's what it is 1108 00:45:28,250 --> 00:45:23,670 I think it's like hey look science over 1109 00:45:29,809 --> 00:45:28,260 here yeah bring your leg up yeah yeah no 1110 00:45:32,599 --> 00:45:29,819 that's that's a different perspective 1111 00:45:35,359 --> 00:45:32,609 actually that's very interesting I think 1112 00:45:36,890 --> 00:45:35,369 we haven't had that yet oh good thank 1113 00:45:39,380 --> 00:45:36,900 you I like having a pittance it no one 1114 00:45:41,630 --> 00:45:39,390 else's job I'm one of them oh very 1115 00:46:03,120 --> 00:45:41,640 unique sleuth snowflake and I thank you 1116 00:46:07,419 --> 00:46:05,919 are you enjoying the skeptics on podcast 1117 00:46:09,849 --> 00:46:07,429 and wondering where you can find more 1118 00:46:11,589 --> 00:46:09,859 skeptical information skeptics on the 1119 00:46:13,509 --> 00:46:11,599 net is an online directory for 1120 00:46:15,579 --> 00:46:13,519 everything skeptical it features 1121 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:15,589 listings for skeptical podcasts blogs 1122 00:46:20,799 --> 00:46:18,650 people local groups and more it also 1123 00:46:22,390 --> 00:46:20,809 includes the sotn blog where people in 1124 00:46:24,099 --> 00:46:22,400 the know right introductions to their 1125 00:46:42,249 --> 00:46:24,109 favorite skeptical and pseudo scientific 1126 00:46:52,579 --> 00:46:44,829 it'll take this with a grain of salt 1127 00:46:54,769 --> 00:46:52,589 he's around ticket I'm here with dr. 1128 00:46:57,380 --> 00:46:54,779 Elizabeth Bassani who's an 1129 00:47:00,049 --> 00:46:57,390 epidemiologist and she gave a talk this 1130 00:47:03,219 --> 00:47:00,059 morning about about AIDS in particular 1131 00:47:06,170 --> 00:47:03,229 HIV and AIDS amongst other things 1132 00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:06,180 Elizabeth can you give us a bit of a and 1133 00:47:09,410 --> 00:47:07,650 all of you of what we stuff was it your 1134 00:47:11,059 --> 00:47:09,420 talk was about well I'm interested that 1135 00:47:13,910 --> 00:47:11,069 you said that I gave a talk about HIV 1136 00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:13,920 and AIDS and I'm glad that you said that 1137 00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:16,130 because many people still use the term 1138 00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:20,249 hiv/aids with an implied hyphen maybe 1139 00:47:24,380 --> 00:47:22,170 between the two but seeing the two as 1140 00:47:25,939 --> 00:47:24,390 really one epidemic and I guess the 1141 00:47:27,910 --> 00:47:25,949 point that I was trying to make this 1142 00:47:31,039 --> 00:47:27,920 morning was that these are now two 1143 00:47:34,729 --> 00:47:31,049 completely separate epidemics and the 1144 00:47:37,699 --> 00:47:34,739 AIDS epidemic is essentially if not 1145 00:47:41,029 --> 00:47:37,709 beaten quite yet definitely on the wane 1146 00:47:43,999 --> 00:47:41,039 the HIV epidemic on the other hand is 1147 00:47:46,309 --> 00:47:44,009 growing and our failure to recognize the 1148 00:47:48,829 --> 00:47:46,319 difference between those two things is 1149 00:47:51,620 --> 00:47:48,839 one of the things that is making it 1150 00:47:54,589 --> 00:47:51,630 difficult for us to actually address HIV 1151 00:47:56,630 --> 00:47:54,599 effectively obviously we have in some 1152 00:47:58,759 --> 00:47:56,640 solutions now the entry antiretroviral 1153 00:48:02,059 --> 00:47:58,769 drugs that help with fur controlling 1154 00:48:04,670 --> 00:48:02,069 AIDS why is why are we not able to 1155 00:48:08,359 --> 00:48:04,680 control HIV in the same way well because 1156 00:48:10,459 --> 00:48:08,369 HIV has become completely invisible HIV 1157 00:48:12,199 --> 00:48:10,469 is invisible it only becomes visible 1158 00:48:14,089 --> 00:48:12,209 when it progresses to AIDS now that 1159 00:48:16,219 --> 00:48:14,099 we've got effective treatment very few 1160 00:48:19,749 --> 00:48:16,229 people are progressing to AIDS in any 1161 00:48:23,900 --> 00:48:19,759 visible way and what that means is that 1162 00:48:26,299 --> 00:48:23,910 no one is walking into a bar with their 1163 00:48:28,699 --> 00:48:26,309 face covered in kaposi sarcoma getting 1164 00:48:30,799 --> 00:48:28,709 thinner and thinner every week no one is 1165 00:48:33,979 --> 00:48:30,809 spending as I did when I was in my teens 1166 00:48:36,229 --> 00:48:33,989 their weekends at funerals of friends 1167 00:48:40,189 --> 00:48:36,239 weekend after weekend after weekend 1168 00:48:44,140 --> 00:48:40,199 there is no visible face to HIV and so 1169 00:48:46,329 --> 00:48:44,150 people are not a as aware of it and 1170 00:48:49,210 --> 00:48:46,339 be those that are aware of it aren't as 1171 00:48:51,519 --> 00:48:49,220 frightened of it now I would say that 1172 00:48:53,289 --> 00:48:51,529 that's probably a good thing you know 1173 00:48:55,390 --> 00:48:53,299 there's a reason for them not to be as 1174 00:49:00,640 --> 00:48:55,400 frightened of it because it's not as 1175 00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:00,650 scary so it's a pill a day it's a bit of 1176 00:49:04,180 --> 00:49:02,450 a pain because you're going to have to 1177 00:49:06,609 --> 00:49:04,190 have that conversation with anyone you 1178 00:49:09,339 --> 00:49:06,619 sleep with well you're probably going to 1179 00:49:12,190 --> 00:49:09,349 have to have that conversation by the 1180 00:49:15,039 --> 00:49:12,200 way something you should know I'm 1181 00:49:19,180 --> 00:49:15,049 infected but more and more people are 1182 00:49:21,130 --> 00:49:19,190 not even having that conversation what 1183 00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:21,140 that means is that transmission is 1184 00:49:28,660 --> 00:49:24,890 continuing because the private cost of 1185 00:49:30,549 --> 00:49:28,670 being infected is actually very low it's 1186 00:49:32,079 --> 00:49:30,559 taking a pill every day essentially now 1187 00:49:33,940 --> 00:49:32,089 that's something that I've done for 30 1188 00:49:36,010 --> 00:49:33,950 years I've taken a pill every day so 1189 00:49:38,079 --> 00:49:36,020 that I can have as much sex as I want 1190 00:49:41,109 --> 00:49:38,089 without suffering the appalling 1191 00:49:43,990 --> 00:49:41,119 consequences of promiscuity among them 1192 00:49:47,920 --> 00:49:44,000 pregnancy so I've taken a pill every day 1193 00:49:51,519 --> 00:49:47,930 to avoid that perfectly happily and I 1194 00:49:53,769 --> 00:49:51,529 think that it's a it's a behavior that 1195 00:49:58,269 --> 00:49:53,779 many people are perfectly happy to live 1196 00:50:03,220 --> 00:49:58,279 with the problem is that the public cost 1197 00:50:06,490 --> 00:50:03,230 of HIV is still very very high so people 1198 00:50:12,150 --> 00:50:06,500 are on expensive medications for life 1199 00:50:15,809 --> 00:50:12,160 and the risk of developing mutations and 1200 00:50:18,430 --> 00:50:15,819 developing non treatable forms of HIV 1201 00:50:20,319 --> 00:50:18,440 increase with the number of people who 1202 00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:20,329 are infected in the population and are 1203 00:50:24,279 --> 00:50:22,130 still sexually active and transmitting 1204 00:50:27,490 --> 00:50:24,289 the virus so the public cost is very 1205 00:50:29,980 --> 00:50:27,500 high but people don't make decisions in 1206 00:50:32,500 --> 00:50:29,990 their sex lives or in their injecting 1207 00:50:35,260 --> 00:50:32,510 lives about things that are a cost to 1208 00:50:36,279 --> 00:50:35,270 the taxpayer they only make decisions 1209 00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:36,289 about things that are a cost to 1210 00:50:42,700 --> 00:50:40,130 themselves but there was a time from the 1211 00:50:44,859 --> 00:50:42,710 late 80s till the mid 90s where 1212 00:50:46,539 --> 00:50:44,869 particularly in gay communities in the 1213 00:50:48,700 --> 00:50:46,549 Australian case but also among drug 1214 00:50:50,859 --> 00:50:48,710 injectors people were exceptionally 1215 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:50,869 aware of the risk of AIDS and actually 1216 00:50:56,180 --> 00:50:53,210 were changing their behavior quite a bit 1217 00:50:58,520 --> 00:50:56,190 because of that so condom use rose to 1218 00:51:00,770 --> 00:50:58,530 really remarkably high levels and it's 1219 00:51:02,329 --> 00:51:00,780 now sunk right back down again so do you 1220 00:51:04,130 --> 00:51:02,339 find that the younger generation are 1221 00:51:06,559 --> 00:51:04,140 less aware of the risk of AIDS or the 1222 00:51:08,870 --> 00:51:06,569 less conscious of it perhaps well the 1223 00:51:11,329 --> 00:51:08,880 point is there is no risk of AIDS for 1224 00:51:12,290 --> 00:51:11,339 them there's a risk of acquiring HIV but 1225 00:51:14,120 --> 00:51:12,300 they're not going to get AIDS because 1226 00:51:16,460 --> 00:51:14,130 they'll get treatment so AIDS has 1227 00:51:20,839 --> 00:51:16,470 disappeared so are they less aware of 1228 00:51:22,790 --> 00:51:20,849 the risk of HIV I think yes because are 1229 00:51:25,130 --> 00:51:22,800 they less aware of it I don't know do 1230 00:51:27,109 --> 00:51:25,140 they care less about it yes because 1231 00:51:29,300 --> 00:51:27,119 there is now no longer or really any 1232 00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:29,310 practical risk of AIDS or you know end 1233 00:51:38,180 --> 00:51:33,930 of a of a protracted ugly and very 1234 00:51:40,339 --> 00:51:38,190 painful death in their early adult ears 1235 00:51:44,359 --> 00:51:40,349 which is what used to happen yeah the 1236 00:51:45,530 --> 00:51:44,369 Gremory Reapers it's gone exactly so you 1237 00:51:48,140 --> 00:51:45,540 don't want to terrify people I suppose 1238 00:51:49,910 --> 00:51:48,150 nowadays but but you do want to send a 1239 00:51:51,410 --> 00:51:49,920 very strong message you don't want to 1240 00:51:53,690 --> 00:51:51,420 terrify people partly because there's 1241 00:51:57,980 --> 00:51:53,700 nothing to be terrified of to the extent 1242 00:52:01,280 --> 00:51:57,990 that HIV genuinely is not at the 1243 00:52:03,170 --> 00:52:01,290 personal level something to be terrified 1244 00:52:05,390 --> 00:52:03,180 of I mean pregnancy is much more 1245 00:52:07,910 --> 00:52:05,400 life-changing consequence of sex than 1246 00:52:11,750 --> 00:52:07,920 than HIV is these days I have three boys 1247 00:52:15,950 --> 00:52:11,760 yet you've convinced me exactly but I 1248 00:52:19,910 --> 00:52:15,960 feel that that we really have not found 1249 00:52:22,790 --> 00:52:19,920 a way to make a case for for--why to 1250 00:52:25,790 --> 00:52:22,800 avoid HIV we go on telling people how to 1251 00:52:28,819 --> 00:52:25,800 avoid HIV but we haven't made a case for 1252 00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:28,829 why to avoid HIV in a post AIDS world 1253 00:52:32,870 --> 00:52:30,930 there is a public message problem and 1254 00:52:36,589 --> 00:52:32,880 the public message problem is is in 1255 00:52:40,250 --> 00:52:36,599 large part I think because the agenda 1256 00:52:42,410 --> 00:52:40,260 has changed so radically so quickly that 1257 00:52:45,559 --> 00:52:42,420 many of the people who are still in 1258 00:52:48,589 --> 00:52:45,569 charge of shaping the message don't 1259 00:52:51,170 --> 00:52:48,599 actually get the fact that it's changed 1260 00:52:54,020 --> 00:52:51,180 you know we're still so imbued with that 1261 00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:54,030 whole HIV leads to AIDS leads to death 1262 00:52:58,099 --> 00:52:56,130 therefore it's terrible that we don't 1263 00:53:00,829 --> 00:52:58,109 get the fact that it genuinely is not 1264 00:53:03,170 --> 00:53:00,839 terrible anymore from a public point of 1265 00:53:06,620 --> 00:53:03,180 view it's terrible it's incredibly 1266 00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:06,630 expensive to deal with there are huge 1267 00:53:10,630 --> 00:53:09,530 risks of resistance to 1268 00:53:13,270 --> 00:53:10,640 a big and that would take us right back 1269 00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:13,280 to nineteen eighty-four but there's also 1270 00:53:20,890 --> 00:53:17,810 you know unpleasant consequences of 1271 00:53:24,850 --> 00:53:20,900 treatment there are issues of disclosure 1272 00:53:27,070 --> 00:53:24,860 that lead to issues of stigma does exist 1273 00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:27,080 although probably not nearly as badly as 1274 00:53:32,380 --> 00:53:30,290 some of the dinosaurs believe I really 1275 00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:32,390 think that we need to have a whole new 1276 00:53:37,180 --> 00:53:34,490 generation thinking about this disease 1277 00:53:38,590 --> 00:53:37,190 out with the dinosaurs so I'm going to 1278 00:53:40,630 --> 00:53:38,600 shut up about it and leave it to the new 1279 00:53:42,070 --> 00:53:40,640 generation so you consider yourself to 1280 00:53:43,690 --> 00:53:42,080 be one of the dinosaurs because you just 1281 00:53:45,790 --> 00:53:43,700 because he sounds to me like you're 1282 00:53:47,770 --> 00:53:45,800 quite an original thinker definitely the 1283 00:53:49,270 --> 00:53:47,780 talk today was not the kind of thing 1284 00:53:51,430 --> 00:53:49,280 that I would have expected to hear from 1285 00:53:56,500 --> 00:53:51,440 a public health advocates in this area 1286 00:54:00,280 --> 00:53:56,510 so HIV transmission is hugely dependent 1287 00:54:02,740 --> 00:54:00,290 on what we call very Mia the amount of 1288 00:54:06,390 --> 00:54:02,750 essentially the amount of free virus in 1289 00:54:10,300 --> 00:54:06,400 your blood and your genital fluids and 1290 00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:10,310 that is something that is extremely time 1291 00:54:14,650 --> 00:54:12,890 dependent so its highest just after you 1292 00:54:16,510 --> 00:54:14,660 first become infected when you almost 1293 00:54:21,010 --> 00:54:16,520 certainly don't know you're infected and 1294 00:54:24,250 --> 00:54:21,020 probably when you're in what I'll use 1295 00:54:27,880 --> 00:54:24,260 the technical term a phase so all 1296 00:54:31,810 --> 00:54:27,890 of our models of HIV transmission tend 1297 00:54:33,910 --> 00:54:31,820 to be structured around averages so we 1298 00:54:36,010 --> 00:54:33,920 have an average number of partners in a 1299 00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:36,020 year and we have an average number of 1300 00:54:40,060 --> 00:54:38,090 sex acts with a partner and we have an 1301 00:54:42,220 --> 00:54:40,070 average proportion of condom use in 1302 00:54:45,220 --> 00:54:42,230 those sex acts and etc but as I'm sure 1303 00:54:48,250 --> 00:54:45,230 you know our lives are not lived in 1304 00:54:49,720 --> 00:54:48,260 averages our lives or lived in phases 1305 00:54:52,180 --> 00:54:49,730 and you can be in a long-term 1306 00:54:54,310 --> 00:54:52,190 relationship for a long time and then it 1307 00:54:55,900 --> 00:54:54,320 breaks up and then you go and you hit 1308 00:54:58,450 --> 00:54:55,910 the clubs and you play the field for a 1309 00:54:59,980 --> 00:54:58,460 bit and you may turn over more partners 1310 00:55:01,930 --> 00:54:59,990 in that three-month period then you have 1311 00:55:04,150 --> 00:55:01,940 in the previous four years and then you 1312 00:55:06,070 --> 00:55:04,160 settle down again and then oh you have 1313 00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:06,080 another phase it's in those 1314 00:55:12,070 --> 00:55:09,050 phases that you're most likely to 1315 00:55:13,900 --> 00:55:12,080 contract HIV and it's in those 1316 00:55:15,850 --> 00:55:13,910 phases that you're most likely to pass 1317 00:55:18,160 --> 00:55:15,860 on HIV because you're having a large 1318 00:55:21,160 --> 00:55:18,170 number of partners in a short period of 1319 00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:21,170 time when you're likely to be highly 1320 00:55:25,330 --> 00:55:22,850 infectious so 1321 00:55:27,100 --> 00:55:25,340 by the time you're out of your 1322 00:55:29,710 --> 00:55:27,110 vision in your stable relationship we've 1323 00:55:31,510 --> 00:55:29,720 probably your that your antibody 1324 00:55:33,370 --> 00:55:31,520 response has kicked in you've brought 1325 00:55:36,130 --> 00:55:33,380 down your viral load and you're much 1326 00:55:38,380 --> 00:55:36,140 less likely to pass it on so there's 1327 00:55:41,350 --> 00:55:38,390 much less transmission in long-term 1328 00:55:44,350 --> 00:55:41,360 stable partnerships then there is during 1329 00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:44,360 the period of rapid turnover for viral 1330 00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:47,690 ah gical reasons as well as for the 1331 00:55:53,500 --> 00:55:50,210 reasons of mathematical numbers of 1332 00:55:56,410 --> 00:55:53,510 partnerships so what does that mean it 1333 00:55:58,990 --> 00:55:56,420 means that HIV transmission happens in 1334 00:56:02,350 --> 00:55:59,000 settings where people are turning over 1335 00:56:05,260 --> 00:56:02,360 partners rapidly in a short space of 1336 00:56:10,230 --> 00:56:05,270 time what about abstinence abstinence 1337 00:56:13,690 --> 00:56:10,240 works very very well technically 1338 00:56:15,490 --> 00:56:13,700 unfortunately behaviorally it doesn't 1339 00:56:17,860 --> 00:56:15,500 work so well so abstinence works 1340 00:56:20,950 --> 00:56:17,870 perfectly for those that use it 1341 00:56:23,940 --> 00:56:20,960 consistently yeah ah not many of them my 1342 00:56:29,580 --> 00:56:23,950 experience that's not many of those and 1343 00:56:33,610 --> 00:56:29,590 for those that are practicing that I 1344 00:56:37,630 --> 00:56:33,620 chapeau and I'm sorry for you yeah you 1345 00:56:39,610 --> 00:56:37,640 know I I can't remember who said it but 1346 00:56:42,340 --> 00:56:39,620 there's there's a quote I really like 1347 00:56:45,310 --> 00:56:42,350 and that is that abstinence-only sex 1348 00:56:49,420 --> 00:56:45,320 education is like just holding to potty 1349 00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:49,430 training sir may not may not necessarily 1350 00:56:53,830 --> 00:56:52,370 work that's that's right i mean it does 1351 00:56:55,750 --> 00:56:53,840 work technically and you should again 1352 00:56:59,260 --> 00:56:55,760 you shouldn't dis it for those for whom 1353 00:57:00,550 --> 00:56:59,270 it works great one more thing that i 1354 00:57:02,050 --> 00:57:00,560 want to go back to with rue does the 1355 00:57:04,630 --> 00:57:02,060 circumcision you mentioned earlier that 1356 00:57:06,010 --> 00:57:04,640 you've had the nastiest oh i don't 1357 00:57:08,610 --> 00:57:06,020 remember that nastiest was the word he 1358 00:57:10,540 --> 00:57:08,620 used but used some word to describe the 1359 00:57:14,980 --> 00:57:10,550 emails that you got from the 1360 00:57:18,460 --> 00:57:14,990 anti-circumcision lobbyists i suppose as 1361 00:57:20,430 --> 00:57:18,470 the it's the most most extreme so can 1362 00:57:23,819 --> 00:57:20,440 you talk about that a little 1363 00:57:26,970 --> 00:57:23,829 yeah I can't even I've buried them in my 1364 00:57:30,120 --> 00:57:26,980 hate mail file somewhere and but yeah 1365 00:57:36,690 --> 00:57:30,130 I've always been really interested by 1366 00:57:41,069 --> 00:57:36,700 this visceral rejection of circumcision 1367 00:57:43,740 --> 00:57:41,079 all I'm saying is here's the science the 1368 00:57:46,530 --> 00:57:43,750 science suggests that lopping off your 1369 00:57:49,530 --> 00:57:46,540 foreskin reduces the likelihood that you 1370 00:57:52,470 --> 00:57:49,540 will contract HIV by about sixty percent 1371 00:57:57,030 --> 00:57:52,480 in a high prevalence heterosexual 1372 00:58:00,750 --> 00:57:57,040 setting now that's all I'm saying if you 1373 00:58:04,530 --> 00:58:00,760 believe that that is somehow advocating 1374 00:58:07,500 --> 00:58:04,540 for the mutilation of helpless babies or 1375 00:58:11,579 --> 00:58:07,510 whatever that's your problem but do i 1376 00:58:16,170 --> 00:58:11,589 I've so I now have a block on no sorg 1377 00:58:18,720 --> 00:58:16,180 and and and other organizations that 1378 00:58:23,550 --> 00:58:18,730 feel strongly about this because I have 1379 00:58:25,890 --> 00:58:23,560 no axe to grind no scalpel to sharpen in 1380 00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:25,900 this debate I'm just saying that that's 1381 00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:27,490 what the science has no penis in this 1382 00:58:32,550 --> 00:58:29,530 game I have no penis in this game I 1383 00:58:35,010 --> 00:58:32,560 would say however as someone who doesn't 1384 00:58:37,290 --> 00:58:35,020 have a penis in this game that one of 1385 00:58:41,790 --> 00:58:37,300 the things that amuses me about the 1386 00:58:43,980 --> 00:58:41,800 circumcision debate or the screaming 1387 00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:43,990 match perhaps that goes on around this 1388 00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:45,730 is that one of the things you don't 1389 00:58:51,630 --> 00:58:48,450 understand but you know the it 1390 00:58:53,579 --> 00:58:51,640 circumcision reduces sensitivity for man 1391 00:58:56,430 --> 00:58:53,589 therefore you're reducing our sexual 1392 00:59:00,589 --> 00:58:56,440 pleasure etcetera etcetera now I am a 1393 00:59:04,550 --> 00:59:00,599 woman and you know women are blessed 1394 00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:04,560 thank the Lord guys are always like 1395 00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:08,890 people who complain about discrimination 1396 00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:11,050 against women always forget this but you 1397 00:59:18,780 --> 00:59:13,930 know we get the multiple orgasms thank 1398 00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:18,790 you lord so so as a woman capable of 1399 00:59:23,700 --> 00:59:21,490 multiple orgasms the fact that your 1400 00:59:26,069 --> 00:59:23,710 sensitivity is slightly reduced and 1401 00:59:30,809 --> 00:59:26,079 therefore that you're going to keep at 1402 00:59:32,180 --> 00:59:30,819 it slightly longer it's not really a 1403 00:59:36,390 --> 00:59:32,190 great problem from 1404 00:59:38,700 --> 00:59:36,400 so guys tend to think always about their 1405 00:59:40,410 --> 00:59:38,710 sexual pleasure but if any part of their 1406 00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:40,420 sexual pleasure comes from delivering 1407 00:59:48,090 --> 00:59:44,410 sexual satisfaction then a slightly 1408 00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:48,100 reduced sensitivity is probably no bad 1409 00:59:52,970 --> 00:59:50,170 thing now I'm not going to give you the 1410 00:59:56,010 --> 00:59:52,980 N of my study but on the whole 1411 00:59:58,890 --> 00:59:56,020 circumcised guys are generally better 1412 01:00:00,960 --> 00:59:58,900 lays than uncircumcised guys and I'm not 1413 01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:00,970 very positive note we want in this 1414 01:00:18,810 --> 01:00:17,290 interview thank you very much ilysm this 1415 01:00:20,790 --> 01:00:18,820 is jay novella from the skeptics guide 1416 01:00:22,380 --> 01:00:20,800 to the universe podcast did you know 1417 01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:22,390 that there are thousands of skeptical 1418 01:00:26,190 --> 01:00:24,370 reports interviews and investigations 1419 01:00:29,940 --> 01:00:26,200 going back to nineteen eighty one free 1420 01:00:32,460 --> 01:00:29,950 to download just visit w WC ethics com a 1421 01:00:33,990 --> 01:00:32,470 you click the publications link and 1422 01:00:35,820 --> 01:00:34,000 enjoy almost every back issue of the 1423 01:00:38,010 --> 01:00:35,830 skeptic the journal from Australian 1424 01:00:39,720 --> 01:00:38,020 skeptics you can also subscribe online 1425 01:00:41,730 --> 01:00:39,730 and get the latest digital or hard copy 1426 01:00:44,910 --> 01:00:41,740 of this the world's second oldest 1427 01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:44,920 skeptical magazine that's ww skeptics 1428 01:00:53,620 --> 01:00:47,530 comte you or just google Australian 1429 01:01:07,950 --> 01:01:03,950 you 1430 01:01:10,110 --> 01:01:07,960 zone don't forget the Australian 1431 01:01:12,030 --> 01:01:10,120 skeptics national convention is coming 1432 01:01:17,940 --> 01:01:12,040 up and you can check out all the details 1433 01:01:19,950 --> 01:01:17,950 at convention dot skeptics com au and 1434 01:01:22,830 --> 01:01:19,960 kicks off on the twenty-eighth for 1435 01:01:25,200 --> 01:01:22,840 november this year 28th 29th and 30th of 1436 01:01:26,640 --> 01:01:25,210 november really looking forward to that 1437 01:01:29,070 --> 01:01:26,650 we're going to have a lot of 1438 01:01:31,590 --> 01:01:29,080 international guests including the 1439 01:01:34,530 --> 01:01:31,600 skeptics guide to the universe crew 1440 01:01:36,210 --> 01:01:34,540 can't wait to see them dr. carl cruising 1441 01:01:39,480 --> 01:01:36,220 iski and all sorts of other people dr. 1442 01:01:43,710 --> 01:01:39,490 Rachel be giving a talk of course and i 1443 01:01:45,380 --> 01:01:43,720 think the convention committee I think 1444 01:01:47,940 --> 01:01:45,390 the convention committee have been 1445 01:01:50,100 --> 01:01:47,950 hinting to me that they're going to be 1446 01:01:52,980 --> 01:01:50,110 announcing some more guests very soon 1447 01:01:54,720 --> 01:01:52,990 that should be really exciting now our 1448 01:01:57,090 --> 01:01:54,730 good friends at the Victorian skeptics 1449 01:01:59,160 --> 01:01:57,100 have let me know that they have arranged 1450 01:02:01,080 --> 01:01:59,170 a dinner at dinner with Lawrence Krauss 1451 01:02:04,590 --> 01:02:01,090 and this is happening on the 1452 01:02:08,190 --> 01:02:04,600 twenty-ninth of August details at Vic 1453 01:02:10,290 --> 01:02:08,200 skeptics wordpress com but the blurb 1454 01:02:11,850 --> 01:02:10,300 says the Victorian skeptics are pleased 1455 01:02:15,300 --> 01:02:11,860 to announce a special event featuring 1456 01:02:18,570 --> 01:02:15,310 cosmologist Lawrence Krauss Lawrence is 1457 01:02:21,150 --> 01:02:18,580 presenting a talk entitled an update on 1458 01:02:23,400 --> 01:02:21,160 cosmology and thoughts on education 1459 01:02:26,040 --> 01:02:23,410 Lawrence is well known for his critical 1460 01:02:27,510 --> 01:02:26,050 thinking and promotion of science the 1461 01:02:29,670 --> 01:02:27,520 dinner and talk will be held at the 1462 01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:29,680 University of Melbourne graduate house 1463 01:02:35,010 --> 01:02:31,930 and they're telling me tickets are 1464 01:02:38,430 --> 01:02:35,020 already selling fast an extra special 1465 01:02:40,380 --> 01:02:38,440 event again if you're in the melbourne 1466 01:02:41,820 --> 01:02:40,390 area or if you're in Victoria you might 1467 01:02:45,210 --> 01:02:41,830 want to check this out in fact I think 1468 01:02:48,060 --> 01:02:45,220 you should Vic skeptics dot wordpress 1469 01:02:50,820 --> 01:02:48,070 com for all the details that date again 1470 01:02:54,120 --> 01:02:50,830 is the 29th of August a dinner and a 1471 01:02:55,710 --> 01:02:54,130 talk with Lawrence Krauss and a little 1472 01:02:59,430 --> 01:02:55,720 update on the vaccinations chronicles 1473 01:03:01,500 --> 01:02:59,440 DVD wow it's wrong well I guess it is 1474 01:03:04,470 --> 01:03:01,510 finished in a matter of speaking it's um 1475 01:03:06,630 --> 01:03:04,480 a work in progress I've put out a few 1476 01:03:10,080 --> 01:03:06,640 review test copies out there for people 1477 01:03:12,260 --> 01:03:10,090 to to try on their systems to see if the 1478 01:03:14,460 --> 01:03:12,270 sound works and all the links work and 1479 01:03:17,309 --> 01:03:14,470 subtitles look about right I'm getting 1480 01:03:18,689 --> 01:03:17,319 more subtitles every week which is 1481 01:03:20,849 --> 01:03:18,699 really cool then I can just add them 1482 01:03:24,719 --> 01:03:20,859 progressively i think i'm getting 1483 01:03:26,339 --> 01:03:24,729 russian soon Oh still very interesting 1484 01:03:28,529 --> 01:03:26,349 work but as soon as that's more or less 1485 01:03:30,269 --> 01:03:28,539 ready to go out there and finish them 1486 01:03:33,089 --> 01:03:30,279 I'll let you know and then I'll just 1487 01:03:36,390 --> 01:03:33,099 have to work out a way you can get a 1488 01:03:37,979 --> 01:03:36,400 copy of that DVD and when I work that 1489 01:03:40,349 --> 01:03:37,989 out it won't cost very much because 1490 01:03:43,199 --> 01:03:40,359 because the only thing I'm interested in 1491 01:03:46,199 --> 01:03:43,209 is just recouping production costs which 1492 01:03:48,509 --> 01:03:46,209 and all that fantastically big anyway 1493 01:03:50,759 --> 01:03:48,519 more news about that well hopefully next 1494 01:03:52,739 --> 01:03:50,769 week but for this week this is Richard 1495 01:03:57,839 --> 01:03:52,749 Saunders signing off from Sydney 1496 01:04:01,559 --> 01:03:57,849 Australia you've been listening to the 1497 01:04:05,249 --> 01:04:01,569 skeptic zone visit our website at www 1498 01:04:08,610 --> 01:04:05,259 skipped exhume TV for comments contacts 1499 01:04:11,720 --> 01:04:08,620 and extra video reports 1500 01:04:21,250 --> 01:04:11,730 I skin